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Pandemics and the Asia-Pacific Islamic Stocks

Author

Listed:
  • Afees A. Salisu
  • Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru

    (Centre for Econometric & Allied Research, University of Ibadan, Nigeria)

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the potential of the Asia-Pacific Islamic stock market to serve as a good hedge against uncertainty due to pandemics and epidemics (UPE). Relying on a new dataset for UPE, we find evidence in favour of the hedging potential of the Asia-Pacific Islamic stocks against UPE albeit with lower hedging effectiveness during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further, results show improved out-of-sample forecasts of stock returns when using the UPE predictor.

Suggested Citation

  • Afees A. Salisu & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2021. "Pandemics and the Asia-Pacific Islamic Stocks," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(1), pages 1-5.
    • Handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnael:8
    DOI: 2021/06/27
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mansur Masih & Nazrol K. M. Kamil & Obiyathulla I. Bacha, 2018. "Issues in Islamic Equities: A Literature Survey," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 1-26, January.
    2. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
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    4. Al-Awadhi, Abdullah M. & Alsaifi, Khaled & Al-Awadhi, Ahmad & Alhammadi, Salah, 2020. "Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    5. Pinglin He & Yulong Sun & Ying Zhang & Tao Li, 2020. "COVID–19’s Impact on Stock Prices Across Different Sectors—An Event Study Based on the Chinese Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2198-2212, August.
    6. Afees A. Salisu & Lateef O. Akanni, 2020. "Constructing a Global Fear Index for the COVID-19 Pandemic," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2310-2331, August.
    7. Salisu, Afees A. & Adeleke, Adegoke I., 2016. "Further application of Narayan and Liu (2015) unit root model for trending time series," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 305-314.
    8. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Stephan Popp, 2010. "A new unit root test with two structural breaks in level and slope at unknown time," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(9), pages 1425-1438.
    9. Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007. "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May.
    10. Westerlund, Joakim & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2012. "Does the choice of estimator matter when forecasting returns?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2632-2640.
    11. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Liu, Ruipeng, 2015. "A unit root model for trending time-series energy variables," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 391-402.
    12. Smyth, Russell & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2018. "What do we know about oil prices and stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 148-156.
    13. Salisu, Afees A. & Swaray, Raymond & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Improving the predictability of the oil–US stock nexus: The role of macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 153-171.
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    Cited by:

    1. Franck Edouard Gnahe & Fei-Ming Huang & Junaid Ashraf, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on stock market returns: Case of Bourse Regionale des Valeurs Mobilieres," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 18(1), pages 207-214, April.
    2. Rui Wang & Sheng Ma & Xinxin Xu & Pan Song, 2021. "Heterogeneous Shareholders’ Participation, COVID-19 Impact, and Innovation Decisions of State-Owned Firms: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-22, April.
    3. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lucey, Brian, 2021. "Gold and US sectoral stocks during COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2021. "Economic Policy Uncertainty in Times of COVID-19 Pandemic," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 1(2), pages 1-4.
    5. Qiang Fu & Chun-Ping Chang, 2021. "How Do Pandemics Affect Government Expenditures?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(1), pages 1-5.
    6. Salissu, Afees & Raheem, Ibrahim & Eigbiremolen, Godstime, 2020. "The behaviour of U.S. stocks to financial and health risks," MPRA Paper 105354, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    islamic stocks; conventional stocks; pandemics; hedging; predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

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