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Hidden Unemployment in Polish Agriculture in 2005-2018 – A Simulation of the Scale of the Problem

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  • KOŁODZIEJCZAK, WŁODZIMIERZ

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the levels of potential hidden unemployment in Polish agriculture in 2005, 2015 and 2018. Excessive employment in agriculture (understood as hidden unemployment) is one of the key outstanding problems in the process of modernizing Polish rural areas. This paper uses a method for estimating these processes based on the results of a simulation based on the assumption that agriculture has a 5% share in the total working population employed in the national economy. The study relied on EUROSTAT and Central Statistical Office data and on relevant literature. The level of agricultural employment and the amount of surplus workforce differ across voivodships and suggest that structural factors continue to have a strong impact. The distance to the 5% level assumed in the simulation has been decreasing in subsequent years. Hence, achieving this goal seems more and more realistic.

Suggested Citation

  • Kołodziejczak, Włodzimierz, 2020. "Hidden Unemployment in Polish Agriculture in 2005-2018 – A Simulation of the Scale of the Problem," Roczniki (Annals), Polish Association of Agricultural Economists and Agribusiness - Stowarzyszenie Ekonomistow Rolnictwa e Agrobiznesu (SERiA), vol. 2020(01).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:paaero:308169
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.308169
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen & Jackman, Richard, 2005. "Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199279173, Decembrie.
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