IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/naaenj/267819.html

Supply Response of Maize, Millet and Sorghum in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Awotide, D. O.

Abstract

The paper quantified the yield responses of maize, millet and sorghum in Nigeria using error correction model. The analysis was carried out using a time series data covering 1966-2008. LR-test statistic showed that there was cointegrating vector implying a unique long-run equilibrium relationship with the assumption of linear deterministic trend in the data. The error correction model results indicated that maize, millet, and sorghum yield were not significantly dependent on the prices of maize, millet, and sorghum in the short-run with the exception of millet yield which was dependent on own price. In the long-run, maize yield was statistically dependent on the prices of millet and sorghum. The paper concluded that maize supply was influenced by market signals (prices) and hence small incremental changes in millet and sorghum prices have significant impact on national maize supply level. It is recommended that millet and sorghum price stabilization policy will go a long way in increasing maize production. This will have a consequential effect of increasing the welfare of maize farmers.

Suggested Citation

  • Awotide, D. O., 2012. "Supply Response of Maize, Millet and Sorghum in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model Approach," Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 3(01).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:naaenj:267819
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.267819
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267819/files/Supply%20Response%20of%20Maize%2C%20Millet%20and%20Sorghum%20in%20Nigeria.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267819/files/Supply%20Response%20of%20Maize%2C%20Millet%20and%20Sorghum%20in%20Nigeria.pdf?subformat=pdfa
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.267819?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mushtaq, Khalid & Dawson, P.J., 2003. "Yield Response In Pakistan Agriculture: A Cointegration Approach," 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa 25931, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    3. Abdulai, Awudu & Rieder, Peter, 1995. "The Impacts of Agricultural Price Policy on Cocoa Supply in Ghana: An Error Correction Estimation," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 4(3), pages 315-335, December.
    4. Nickell, Stephen, 1985. "Error Correction, Partial Adjustment and All That: An Expository Note," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 47(2), pages 119-129, May.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    6. Hallam, David & Zanoli, Raffaele, 1993. "Error Correction Models and Agricultural Supply Response," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 20(2), pages 151-166.
    7. Marc Nerlove & Kenneth L. Bachman, 1960. "The Analysis of Changes in Agricultural Supply: Problems and Approaches," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 531-554.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bardsen, Gunnar & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jansen, Eilev S. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2005. "The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199246502.
    2. Mushtaq, Khalid & Dawson, P. J., 2002. "Acreage response in Pakistan: a co-integration approach," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(2), pages 111-121, August.
    3. Alessia Naccarato & Andrea Pierini & Giovanna Ferraro, 2021. "Markowitz portfolio optimization through pairs trading cointegrated strategy in long-term investment," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 81-99, April.
    4. Jakšić Saša, 2022. "Modelling Determinants of Inflation in CESEE Countries: Global Vector Autoregressive Approach," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 22(2), pages 137-169, June.
    5. Wilton Bernardino & João B. Amaral & Nelson L. Paes & Raydonal Ospina & José L. Távora, 2022. "A statistical investigation of a stock valuation model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-25, August.
    6. Brittle, Shane, 2009. "Ricardian Equivalence and the Efficacy of Fiscal Policy in Australia," Economics Working Papers wp09-10, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    7. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2014. "Causality and contagion in EMU sovereign debt markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 12-27.
    8. Kenneth F. Wallis & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2005. "Comparing SVARs and SEMs: two models of the UK economy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(2), pages 209-228.
    9. Peter Rowland & Hugo OLiveros C., 2003. "Colombian Purchasing Power Parity Analysed Using a Framework of Multivariate Cointegration," Borradores de Economia 252, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    10. Katsoulacos Yannis & Konstantakopoulou Ioanna & Metsiou Eleni & Tsionas Efthymios, 2014. "Quantitative Price Tests in Antitrust Market Definition with an Application to the Savory Snacks Markets," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-33, January.
    11. Hansen, Peter Reinhard, 2003. "Structural changes in the cointegrated vector autoregressive model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 261-295, June.
    12. Ling Tang & Chengyuan Zhang & Tingfei Li & Ling Li, 2021. "A novel BEMD-based method for forecasting tourist volume with search engine data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1015-1038, August.
    13. Amanjot Singh & Manjit Singh, 2018. "Co-movement among US, Frontier and BRIC Equity Markets after the Financial Crisis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(2), pages 311-327, April.
    14. Pål Boug & Håvard Hungnes & Takamitsu Kurita, 2024. "The empirical modelling of house prices and debt revisited: a policy-oriented perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 369-404, January.
    15. Neil R. Ericsson & James G. MacKinnon, 2002. "Distributions of error correction tests for cointegration," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 5(2), pages 285-318, June.
    16. Tor Jacobson & Johan Lyhagen & Rolf Larsson & Marianne Nessén, 2008. "Inflation, exchange rates and PPP in a multivariate panel cointegration model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 11(1), pages 58-79, March.
    17. Ramona Dumitriu & Razvan Stefanescu, 2015. "The Relationship Between Romanian Exports And Economic Growth After The Adhesion To European Union," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 17-26.
    18. E. E. Ioannidis & G. A. Chronis, 2005. "Extreme Spectra of Var Models and Orders of Near‐Cointegration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 399-421, May.
    19. Omtzigt Pieter & Fachin Stefano, 2002. "Bootstrapping and Bartlett corrections in the cointegrated VAR model," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0212, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
    20. Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2003. "The random walk hypothesis and the behaviour of foreign capital portfolio flows: the Brazilian stock market case," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 369-378.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:naaenj:267819. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/naaeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.