IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/naaenj/267819.html

Supply Response of Maize, Millet and Sorghum in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Awotide, D. O.

Abstract

The paper quantified the yield responses of maize, millet and sorghum in Nigeria using error correction model. The analysis was carried out using a time series data covering 1966-2008. LR-test statistic showed that there was cointegrating vector implying a unique long-run equilibrium relationship with the assumption of linear deterministic trend in the data. The error correction model results indicated that maize, millet, and sorghum yield were not significantly dependent on the prices of maize, millet, and sorghum in the short-run with the exception of millet yield which was dependent on own price. In the long-run, maize yield was statistically dependent on the prices of millet and sorghum. The paper concluded that maize supply was influenced by market signals (prices) and hence small incremental changes in millet and sorghum prices have significant impact on national maize supply level. It is recommended that millet and sorghum price stabilization policy will go a long way in increasing maize production. This will have a consequential effect of increasing the welfare of maize farmers.

Suggested Citation

  • Awotide, D. O., 2012. "Supply Response of Maize, Millet and Sorghum in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model Approach," Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 3(01).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:naaenj:267819
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.267819
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267819/files/Supply%20Response%20of%20Maize%2C%20Millet%20and%20Sorghum%20in%20Nigeria.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267819/files/Supply%20Response%20of%20Maize%2C%20Millet%20and%20Sorghum%20in%20Nigeria.pdf?subformat=pdfa
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.267819?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marc Nerlove & Kenneth L. Bachman, 1960. "The Analysis of Changes in Agricultural Supply: Problems and Approaches," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 42(3), pages 531-554.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    3. Mushtaq, Khalid & Dawson, P.J., 2003. "Yield Response In Pakistan Agriculture: A Cointegration Approach," 2003 Annual Meeting, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa 25931, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Abdulai, Awudu & Rieder, Peter, 1995. "The Impacts of Agricultural Price Policy on Cocoa Supply in Ghana: An Error Correction Estimation," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 4(3), pages 315-335, December.
    5. Hallam, David & Zanoli, Raffaele, 1993. "Error Correction Models and Agricultural Supply Response," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 20(2), pages 151-166.
    6. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    7. Nickell, Stephen, 1985. "Error Correction, Partial Adjustment and All That: An Expository Note," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 47(2), pages 119-129, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mushtaq, Khalid & Dawson, P. J., 2002. "Acreage response in Pakistan: a co-integration approach," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(2), pages 111-121, August.
    2. Bardsen, Gunnar & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jansen, Eilev S. & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2005. "The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199246502.
    3. K. Aleks Schaefer & Daniel Scheitrum, 2020. "Sewing terror: price dynamics of the strawberry needle crisis," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(2), pages 229-243, April.
    4. Manuchehr Irandoust, 2017. "Symmetry, proportionality and productivity bias hypothesis: evidence from panel-VAR models," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(1), pages 79-93, February.
    5. Erik Hjalmarsson & Pär Österholm, 2010. "Testing for cointegration using the Johansen methodology when variables are near-integrated: size distortions and partial remedies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 51-76, August.
    6. Carol Thiago Costa & Wesley Vieirada Silva & Lauro Britode Almeida & Claudimar Pereirada Veiga, 2017. "Empirical evidence of the existence of speculative bubbles in the prices of stocks traded on the São Paulo Stock Exchange," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1317-1334, Octubre-D.
    7. Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2010. "Nonparametric cointegration analysis of fractional systems with unknown integration orders," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 170-187, April.
    8. Jeong, Woocheon & Kymn, Kem O. & Kymn, Christine J., 2003. "The long-run interdependence of bank-health, investment-oriented bank loans, and economic performance: A time-series analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 11-30.
    9. Anundsen, André Kallåk, 2013. "Economic Regime Shifts and the US Subprime Bubble," Memorandum 05/2013, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    10. George K. Zestos & Xiangnan Tao, 2002. "Trade and GDP Growth: Causal Relations in the United States and Canada," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 68(4), pages 859-874, April.
    11. Kevin H. O'Rourke & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 1999. "The Heckscher-Ohlin Model Between 1400 and 2000: When It Explained Factor Price Convergence, When It Did Not, and Why," NBER Working Papers 7411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Shijaku, Gerti & Kalluci, Irini, 2013. "Determinants of bank credit to the private sector: The case of Albania," MPRA Paper 79092, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Daniel Aromi & Marcos Dal Bianco, 2014. "Un analisis de los desequilibrios del tipo de cambio real argentino bajo cambios de regimen," Working Papers 1431, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    14. Li, Jian & Chavas, Jean-Paul, 2020. "The Impacts of African Swine Fever on Vertical and Spatial Hog Pricing and Market Integration in China," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304516, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Alessia Naccarato & Andrea Pierini & Giovanna Ferraro, 2021. "Markowitz portfolio optimization through pairs trading cointegrated strategy in long-term investment," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 81-99, April.
    16. Manuel BENAZIĆ & Daniel TOMIĆ, 2020. "Macroeconomic dynamics in China, Laos and Vietnam: a VAR analysis," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 203-228, December.
    17. K A El-Wassal, 2005. "Stock Market Growth: An analysis of cointegration and causality," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 10(1), pages 37-58, March.
    18. Storrøsten, Halvor Briseid, 2024. "U.S. light tight oil supply flexibility - A multivariate dynamic model for production and rig activity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    19. Apergis, Nicholas & Zestos, George K. & Shaltayev, Dmitriy S., 2012. "Do market fundamentals determine the Dollar–Euro exchange rate?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-15.
    20. Veronika Kajurová & Petr Rozmahel, 2016. "Stock Market Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from the European Union," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 64(6), pages 1927-1936.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:naaenj:267819. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/naaeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.