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Normal Backwardation, Forecasting, and the Return to Commodity Futures Traders

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  • Rockwell, Charles S.

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Rockwell, Charles S., 1967. "Normal Backwardation, Forecasting, and the Return to Commodity Futures Traders," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 7(Supplemen), pages 1-24.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:frisst:134945
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.134945
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arshanapalli, Bala G. & Gupta, Omprakash K., 1996. "Optimal hedging under output price uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(3), pages 522-536, December.
    2. Goss, Barry A., 1980. "Aspects Of Hedging Theory," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 24(3), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Naik, Gopal & Leuthold, Raymond M., 1991. "A Note On The Factors Affecting Corn Basis Relationships," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-7, July.
    4. Nicole M. Moran & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Who Wins and Who Loses? Trader Returns and Risk Premiums in Agricultural Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 611-652, December.
    5. Carter, Colin A & Rausser, Gordon C & Schmitz, Andrew, 1983. "Efficient Asset Portfolios and the Theory of Normal Backwardation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(2), pages 319-331, April.
    6. Brooks, Chris & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wu, Yingying, 2013. "Commodity futures prices: More evidence on forecast power, risk premia and the theory of storage," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 73-85.
    7. Tomek, William G. & Robinson, Kenneth L., 1977. "PART V. Agricultural Price Analysis and Outlook," AAEA Monographs, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 337217, january.
    8. Shafiqur Rahman & M. Shahid Ebrahim, 2005. "The Futures Pricing Puzzle," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 35, Society for Computational Economics.
    9. Henry L. Bryant & David A. Bessler & Michael S. Haigh, 2006. "Causality in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(11), pages 1039-1057, November.
    10. J. Hirshleifer, 1975. "Speculation and Equilibrium: Information, Risk, and Markets," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 89(4), pages 519-542.
    11. Seungho Baek & Mina Glambosky & Seok Hee Oh & Jeong Lee, 2020. "Machine Learning and Algorithmic Pairs Trading in Futures Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
    12. Carter, Colin A. & Revoredo-Giha, Cesar, 2023. "Financialization and speculators risk premia in commodity futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Hirshleifer, Jack, 1977. "The Theory of Speculation under Alternative Regimes of Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 32(4), pages 975-999, September.
    14. Falatoonzadeh, Hamid & Conner, J. Richard & Pope, Rulon D., 1985. "Risk Management Strategies To Reduce Net Income Variability For Farmers," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 1-14, July.
    15. Changyun Wang, 2001. "Investor Sentiment and Return Predictability in Agricultural Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(10), pages 929-952, October.
    16. Ayben Koy, 2017. "Modelling Nonlinear Dynamics of Oil Futures Market," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 2(1), pages 23-42, June.
    17. Bradley Jones, 2014. "Identifying Speculative Bubbles: A Two-Pillar Surveillance Framework," IMF Working Papers 2014/208, International Monetary Fund.

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