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Oil and Petroleum Product Armington Elasticities: A New-Geography-of-Trade Approach to Estimation

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  • Edward J. Balistreri
  • Ayed Al-Qahtani
  • Carol A. Dahl

Abstract

Exploiting the structural developments suggested by the geography-of-trade literature, we estimate the elasticity of substitution across regional varieties for six crude grades and seven refined products using fixed-effects gravity regressions. We use unique data, compiled by Al-Qahtani (2008), that include global coverage of bilateral trade and transport costs for the crude grades and refined products. We find that the point estimates of elasticities of substitution across import varieties exceed those commonly reported in the literature and those adopted in simulation analysis. Our estimates indicate that there may be far less hysteresis in the pattern of petroleum trade than previously forecast.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward J. Balistreri & Ayed Al-Qahtani & Carol A. Dahl, 2010. "Oil and Petroleum Product Armington Elasticities: A New-Geography-of-Trade Approach to Estimation," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 167-180.
  • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:2010v31-03-a09
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Umed Temurshoev & Fréderic Lantz, 2016. "Long-term petroleum product supply analysis through a robust modelling approach," Working Papers 2016-003, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Department of Economics.
    2. Steinbuks, Jevgenijs & Narayanan, Badri G., 2015. "Fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 168-177.
    3. Lisa Aspalter, 2016. "Estimating Industry-level Armington Elasticities For EMU Countries," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp217, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    4. Balistreri, Edward J. & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2012. "Subglobal carbon policy and the competitive selection of heterogeneous firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S2), pages 190-197.
    5. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "The dynamic linkages between crude oil and natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 155-170.
    6. Christoph Böhringer & Brita Bye & Taran Fæhn & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2015. "Targeted carbon tariffs. Carbon leakage and welfare effects," Discussion Papers 805, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    7. Alexeeva-Talebi, Victoria & Böhringer, Christoph & Löschel, Andreas & Voigt, Sebastian, 2012. "The value-added of sectoral disaggregation: Implications on competitive consequences of climate change policies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(S2), pages 127-142.
    8. repec:eee:resene:v:50:y:2017:i:c:p:51-73 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. McCleery, Robert & DePaolis, Fernando, 2014. "So you want to build a trade model? Available resources and critical choices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 199-207.
    10. Christoph Böhringer & Brita Bye & Taran Fæhn & Knut Einar Rosendahl, 2014. "Output-based rebating of carbon taxes in the neighbor's backyard. Competitiveness, leakage and welfare," Discussion Papers 783, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    11. Aspalter, Lisa, 2016. "Estimating Industry-level Armington Elasticities For EMU Countries," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 4838, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    12. Umed Temurshoev & Marian Mraz & Luis Delgado Sancho & Peter Eder, 2015. "EU Petroleum Refining Fitness Check: OURSE Modelling and Results," JRC Working Papers JRC96207, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
    13. Prehn, Sören & Brümmer, Bernhard & Thompson, Stanley R., 2010. "Payment decoupling and the intra-European calf trade," DARE Discussion Papers 1008, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    14. Christoph Böhringer & Brita Bye & Taran Fæhn & Rosendahl Knut Einar, 2014. "Output-based rebating of carbon taxes in the neighbor’s backyard," Working Papers V-382-15, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2014.
    15. Edward J. Balistreri & Christoph Boehringer & Thomas F. Rutherford, 2015. "Carbon Policy and the Structure of Global Trade," ZenTra Working Papers in Transnational Studies 57 / 2015, ZenTra - Center for Transnational Studies, revised Oct 2015.

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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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