IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/abd/kauiea/v33y2020i2no13p173-192.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Measuring Cyclical Behavior of Islamic and Conventional Financing: Evidence from Indonesian Dual Banking System قياس سلوك التمويل الإسلامي والتمويل التقليدي: دليل من النظام المصرفي الإندونيسي المزدوج

Author

Listed:
  • Arif Widodo

    (Management trainee, Indonesia Financial Services Authority)

Abstract

A thorough analysis about the financial cycle encompassing several financial variables, most importantly including credit, from a conventional perspective has been carried out by previous studies. These studies revealed that the composite cycle is of paramount importance to issue a proper policy. The boom-and-bust of the cycle must be considered in order to achieve the macro prudential objective of curbing excessive credit growth and preventing the build-up of systemic risk. To that end, in the context of the dual banking system where Islamic and conventional banks operate side by side under similar financial circumstances, it is crucial to assess whether the Islamic financing cycle behaves as its conventional counterpart. Given the fact that most of the literature has focused on the cyclical behavior from a conventional perspective, this paper assesses the characteristics of both Islamic and conventional financing cycles. This analysis will help in framing adequate policy implementation of macro prudential policies for the dual banking system. Following the methodology employed by Drehmann, Borio, and Tsatsaronis (2012) in forming the common cycle, this paper concludes that Islamic banks functioning under the same environment as their conventional counterparts, appear to have a similar peak-and-trough cycle but different amplitude. This means that macro prudential policy, particularly countercyclical capital buffer (CCB) policy is deemed crucial to be adopted in Islamic banking as set out in the Islamic Financial Services Board document, IFSB-15 (IFSB, 2013). تم إجراء تحليل شامل للدورة المالية التي تم إنشاؤها عبر تضمين العديد من المتغيرات المالية، في الكثير من الدراسات السابقة التي تناولت التمويل التقليدي. لقد تم الكشف عن أن الدورة المركبة ذات أهمية قصوى لإصدار سياسة مناسبة، من خلال النظر في الطفرة والكساد لتحقيق هدف الاقتصاد الكلي الذي يتمثل في كبح جماح زيادة التمويل المفرط ومنع تراكم المخاطر. ولتحقيق هذه الغاية في سياق النظام المصرفي المزدوج حيث تعمل المصارف الإسلامية في ظل ظروف مالية مماثلة، بات من الضروري تقييم ما إذا كانت دورة التمويل الإسلامي تسير وفق ما عليه الحال في التمويل التقليدي وذلك بالنظر إلى حقيقة أن معظم الدراسات السابقة ركزت على السلوك الدوري من منظور تقليدي. تهدف هذه الورقة إلى تقييم خصائص دورات التمويل الإسلامي والتقليدي بهدف المساعدة في وضع إطار لتحليل التنفيذ المناسب لسياسات الحوكمة الكلية للنظام المصرفي المزدوج. واتباع المنهجية المتبعة في ورقة Drehmann, Borio, and Tsatsaronis (2012) في تشكيل الدورة المشتركة. وتخلص الورقة إلى أن المصارف الإسلامية التي عملت في ظل بيئة مماثلة لديها ذروة ونهاية متشابهة، مع اختلاف السعة كما هو في الجانب التقليدي. مما يعني أن سياسة التحوط الكلية لا سيما سياسة استبعاد رأس المال من مواجهة الدورات الاقتصادية تعتبر حاسمة ومقبولة ليتم اعتمادها في المصرفية الإسلامية كما هو موضح في وثيقة مجلس الخدمات المالية الإسلامية (IFSB-15, 2013).

Suggested Citation

  • Arif Widodo, 2020. "Measuring Cyclical Behavior of Islamic and Conventional Financing: Evidence from Indonesian Dual Banking System قياس سلوك التمويل الإسلامي والتمويل التقليدي: دليل من النظام المصرفي الإندونيسي المزدوج," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 33(2), pages 173-192, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:abd:kauiea:v:33:y:2020:i:2:no:13:p:173-192
    DOI: 10.4197/Islec.33-2.13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://iei.kau.edu.sa/Files/121/Files/153867_33-02-13-Arwidodo-121020.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4197/Islec.33-2.13?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May.
    2. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor & Felix Ward, 2019. "Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 109-150, March.
    3. Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2016. "Business cycle and bank lending procyclicality in a dual banking system," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 127-134.
    4. Charles P. Kindleberger & Robert Z. Aliber, 2005. "Manias, Panics and Crashes," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, edition 0, number 978-0-230-62804-5.
    5. repec:idn:jimfjn:v:3:y:2018:i:2:p:1-42 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Bank for International Settlements, 2016. "Expanding the boundaries of monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 88.
    7. Juda Agung & Solikin M Juhro & Harmanta & Tarsidin, 2016. "Managing monetary and financial stability in a dynamic global environment: Bank Indonesia s policy perspectives," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Expanding the boundaries of monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 88, pages 157-188, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2002. "Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 365-381, March.
    9. Bank for International Settlements, 2010. "The international financial crisis and policy challenges in Asia and the Pacific," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 52.
    10. Borio, Claudio, 2014. "The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 182-198.
    11. Marianne Baxter & Robert G. King, 1999. "Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters For Economic Time Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 575-593, November.
    12. Cicilia A. Harun & Aditya Anta Taruna & R. Renanda Nattan & Ndari Suryaningsih, 2014. "Financial Cycle Of Indonesia – Potential Forward Looking Analysis," Working Papers WP/9/2014, Bank Indonesia.
    13. Mathias Drehmann, 2013. "Total credit as an early warning indicator for systemic banking crises," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    14. Lawrence J. Christiano & Terry J. Fitzgerald, 2003. "The Band Pass Filter," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 44(2), pages 435-465, May.
    15. Mr. Bas B. Bakker & Mr. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Mr. Luc Laeven & Mr. Jerome Vandenbussche & Ms. Deniz O Igan & Mr. Hui Tong, 2012. "Policies for Macrofinancial Stability: How to Deal with Credit Booms," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2012/006, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2012. "Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(2), pages 1029-1061, April.
    17. Pontines, Victor, 2017. "The financial cycles in four East Asian economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 51-66.
    18. Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2012. "Characterising the financial cycle: don't lose sight of the medium term!," BIS Working Papers 380, Bank for International Settlements.
    19. Muhamed Zulkhibri, 2019. "Macroprudential policy and tools in a dual banking system: Insights from the literature," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 19(1), pages 65-76, March.
    20. Zulkhibri, Muhamed & Sakti, Muhammad Rizky Prima, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy and Financing Behaviour in Dual Banking System: Bank-Level Evidence from Indonesia," Working Papers 2017-5, The Islamic Research and Teaching Institute (IRTI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Meller, Barbara & Metiu, Norbert, 2017. "The synchronization of credit cycles," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 98-111.
    2. Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2022. "Measuring financial cycles: Empirical evidence for Germany, United Kingdom and United States of America," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 599-630.
    3. Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
    4. Amat Adarov, 2023. "Financial cycles in Europe: dynamics, synchronicity and implications for business cycles and macroeconomic imbalances," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 551-583, May.
    5. German Forero-Laverde, 2016. "Are All Booms and Busts Created Equal? A New Methodology for Understanding Bull and Bear Stock Markets," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2016/339, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    6. Amat Adarov, 2022. "Financial cycles around the world," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3163-3201, July.
    7. Meller, Barbara & Metiu, Norbert, 2015. "The synchronization of European credit cycles," Discussion Papers 20/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective," Discussion Papers 04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
    10. Jair N. Ojeda-Joya & Oscar Jaulin-Mendez & Juan C. Bustos-Peláez, 2019. "The Interdependence Between Commodity-Price and GDP Cycles: A Frequency-Domain Approach," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 47(3), pages 275-292, September.
    11. Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
    12. Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.
    13. Adél Bosch & Steven F. Koch, 2020. "The South African Financial Cycle and its Relation to Household Deleveraging," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 145-173, June.
    14. Bjarni G. Einarsson & Kristófer Gunnlaugsson & Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2016. "The long history of financial boom-bust cycles in Iceland - Part II: Financial cycles," Economics wp72, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    15. Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
    16. Bjarni G. Einarsson & Kristófer Gunnlaugsson & Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2016. "Small open economies in the vast oceanof global high finance," Economics wp73, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    17. Borsi, Mihály Tamás, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers across the credit cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 135-151.
    18. Schüler, Yves S. & Hiebert, Paul P. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2020. "Financial cycles: Characterisation and real-time measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    19. Bartoletto, Silvana & Chiarini, Bruno & Marzano, Elisabetta & Piselli, Paolo, 2019. "Business cycles, credit cycles, and asymmetric effects of credit fluctuations: Evidence from Italy for the period of 1861–2013," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    20. Bjarni G. Einarsson & Kristófer Gunnlaugsson & Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2015. "The long history of financial boom-bust cycles in Iceland - Part I: Financial crises," Economics wp68, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit cycle; Countercyclical Buffer; Dual Banking; IFSB-15. دورة الائتمان، مواجهة التقلبات الدورية، المصرفية المزدوجة، مجلس الخدمات المالية الإسلامية.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:abd:kauiea:v:33:y:2020:i:2:no:13:p:173-192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cikausa.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.