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Cattle Cycles, Heterogeneous Expectations and the Age Distribution of Capital Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics David Aadland (Utah State University)
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This paper builds a dynamic forward-looking model describing the approximate ten-year cattle cycle. The theoretical model improves on existing models by (1) keeping track of the age distribution of the capital stock, (2) allowing for heterogeneous expectations, and (3) recognizing that cow-calf operators make investment decisions on both the cow and calf margins. The model is then calibrated and used to simulate artificial data that endogenously generates ten-year cycles in the total stock of cattle.
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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Others with number
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Date of creation: 15 Nov 2002Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0211002Note: Type of Document -Contact details of provider: Web page: http://129.3.20.41
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Find related papers by JEL classification: Q10 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - General
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Aadland, David & Bailey, DeeVon, 2001.
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Ranjan, Ram & Lubowski, Ruben N., 2004.
"A Model Of Producer Incentives For Livestock Disease Management ,"
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO
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Other versions: Zhao, Zishun & Wahl, Thomas I. & Marsh, Thomas L., 2006.
"Invasive Species Management: Foot-and-Mouth Disease in the U.S. Beef Industry ,"
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Zhao, Zishun & Wahl, Thomas I. & Marsh, Thomas L., 2006.
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[Downloadable!] Stockton, Matthew C. & Van Tassell, Larry W., 2007.
"The Cattle Price Cycle: An Exploration in Simulation ,"
2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois
37564, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
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