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Banking Policy without Commitment: Suspension of Convertibility Taken Seriously

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Author Info
Huberto M. Ennis () (Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond)
Todd Keister

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Abstract

We study banking policy credibility in a variant of the Diamond and Dybvig (JPE, 1983) model. By committing to temporarily close banks during a run, suspending the convertibility of deposits into currency, the banking authority can eliminate the possibility of a bank run as an equilibrium outcome. Without commitment, however, if a run were to actually occur it may not be optimal for the authority to keep its promise to suspend convertibility. In other words, the threat of suspension may not be credible. We derive conditions under which a credible suspension scheme can be used to rule out bank runs and conditions under which it cannot. In the latter case, bank runs can occur even when there is no uncertainty about aggregate liquidity demand. We relate the analysis to events in Argentina in 2001, when a system-wide suspension of convertibility was declared but only partially enforced

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File URL: http://repec.org/sed2006/up.9434.1139948600.pdf
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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2006 Meeting Papers with number 464.

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Date of creation: 03 Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed006:464

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Related research
Keywords: Optimal Policy; Credibility; Time Consistency; Bank Runs;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
L5 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.


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