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Political Crises and Risk of Financial Contagion in Developing Countries: Evidence from Africa

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  • Simplice A., Asongu

Abstract

The recent waves of political crises in Africa and the Middle East have inspired the debate over how political instability could pose a risk of financial contagion to emerging countries. With retrospect to the Kenyan political crisis, our findings suggest stock markets in Lebanon, Mauritius and Nigeria were contaminated.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 30391.

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Date of creation: 04 Apr 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:30391

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Keywords: Political crisis; Contagion; Developing countries; Equity Markets;

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References

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  1. Simplice A. Asongu, 2012. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: Evidence of contagion from international financial markets," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 340-353, December.
  2. Collins, Daryl & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2003. "Contagion: a fear for African equity markets?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 285-297.
  3. Angelos Kanas, . "Linkages between the US and European Equity Markets: Further Evidence from cointegration Tests," Working Papers 9804, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
  4. Lee, Hsien-Yi & Wu, Hsing-Chi & Wang, Yung-Jang, 2007. "Contagion effect in financial markets after the South-East Asia Tsunami," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 281-296, June.
  5. Asongu Simplice, 2011. "Globalization, financial crisis and contagion: time-dynamic evidence from financial markets of developing countries," Working Papers 11/004, African Governance and Development Institute..
  6. Haile, Fasika & Pozo, Susan, 2008. "Currency crisis contagion and the identification of transmission channels," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 572-588, October.
  7. Mervyn King & Enrique Sentana & Sushil Wadhwani, 1990. "Volatiltiy and Links Between National Stock Markets," NBER Working Papers 3357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Reinhart, Carmen & Calvo, Guillermo & Leiderman, Leonardo, 1993. "“Capital Inflows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Latin America: The Role of External Factors," MPRA Paper 7125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Mervyn A. King & Sushil Wadhwani, 1989. "Transmission of Volatility Between Stock Markets," NBER Working Papers 2910, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Obstfeld, Maurice, 1986. "Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-Payments Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(1), pages 72-81, March.
  11. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1996. "Currency crashes in emerging markets: An empirical treatment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-4), pages 351-366, November.
  12. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October.
  13. Kristin Forbes, 2000. "The Asian Flu and Russian Virus: Firm-level Evidence on How Crises are Transmitted Internationally," NBER Working Papers 7807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Sergio L. Schmukler, 2004. "Financial globalization: gain and pain for developing countries," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q 2, pages 39 - 66.
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Cited by:
  1. Asongu, Simplice, 2013. "Globalization and Financial Market Contagion: Evidence from Financial Crisis and Natural Disasters," MPRA Paper 56803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Asongu Simplice, 2011. "Globalization, financial crisis and contagion: time-dynamic evidence from financial markets of developing countries," Working Papers 11/004, African Governance and Development Institute..
  3. Simplice A., Asongu, 2011. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: evidence of contagion from international financial markets," MPRA Paper 39630, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. repec:pra:mprapa:39629 is not listed on IDEAS

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