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Impact of Supply of Money on Food and General Price Indices: A Case of Pakistan

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Author Info
Khan, Rana Ejaz Ali
Gill, Abid Rashid

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Abstract

The paper probed the impact of supply of money on food and general price indices by estimating a series of equations taking CPI food, CPI general, WPI food, WPI general, GDP deflator and SPI as measures of inflation and M1, M2 and M3 supply of money as explanatory variables. For analysis, OLS technique is used covering time series data for the years 1975-76 to 2006-07 that was made stationary by Durbin-Watson criterion. AR (1) is used to check autocorrelation. The results for CPI food, CPI general, WPI general, GDP deflator and SPI show that they are negatively related with M1 supply of money. CPI food, CPI general, WPI general, GDP deflator, and SPI are also negatively related with M2 supply of money. The results show that CPI food, CPI general, WPI general, GDP deflator and SPI are positively related with M3 supply of money. It may be concluded that supply of money M1 and M2 affects the food and general indices in the same way. However, M1 supply of money affects the CPI general strongly than CPI food.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16293.

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Date of creation: Jan 2007
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Publication status: Published in IUB Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities 2.5(2007): pp. 125-143
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16293

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Related research
Keywords: Inflation; Money supply; Consumer Price Index; Food prices; Sensitive Price Indicator.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Husain, Fazal & Mahmood, Tariq, 1998. "Causality between Money and Prices:Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 2720, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Qayyum, Abdul, 2006. "Money, Inflation, and Growth in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 2055, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2006. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Paul De Grauwe & Magdalena Polan, 2005. "Is Inflation Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 107(2), pages 239-259, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. M. Aynul Hasan & Ashfaque H. Khan & Hafiz A. Pasha & M. Ajaz Rasheed, 1995. "What Explains the Current High Rate of Inflation in Pakistan?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 927-943. [Downloadable!]
  5. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 1. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Nadeem Ul Haque & Abdul Qayyum, 2006. "Inflation Everywhere is a Monetary Phenomenon: An Introductory Note," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 179-183. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ashfaque H. Khan & Mohammad Ali Qasim, 1996. "Inflation in Pakistan Revisited," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 35(4), pages 747-759. [Downloadable!]
  8. Mohsin S. Khan & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006. "Inflation in Pakistan: Money or Wheat?," IMF Working Papers 06/60, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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