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Dynamic Regimes of a Multi-agent Stock Market Model

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Author Info
Yu, Tongkui
Li, Honggang

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Abstract

This paper presents a stochastic multi-agent model of stock market. The market dynamics include switches between chartists and fundamentalists and switches in the prevailing opinions (optimistic or pessimistic) among chartists. A nonlinear dynamical system is derived to depict the underlying mechanisms of market evolvement. Under different settings of parameters representing traders' mimetic contagion propensity, price chasing propensity and strategy switching propensity, the system exhibits four kinds of dynamic regimes: fundamental equilibrium, non-fundamental equilibrium, periodicity and chaos.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14339/
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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14347/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 14339.

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Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14339

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Related research
Keywords: multi-agent stock market model; market dynamic regime; bifurcation analysis;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. L. Sarno & M. P. Taylor, 2003. "An empirical investigation of asset price bubbles in Latin American emerging financial markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(9), pages 635-643, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gonzalez, Liliana & Powell, John G. & Shi, Jing & Wilson, Antony, 2005. "Two centuries of bull and bear market cycles," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 469-486. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Carl Chiarella, 1992. "The Dynamics of Speculative Behaviour," Working Paper Series 13, School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  4. Chris Brooks & Apostolos Katsaris, 2003. "Rational Speculative Bubbles: An Empirical Investigation of the London Stock Exchange," Bulletin of Economic Research, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 319-346, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Adrian R. Pagan & Kirill A. Sossounov, 2003. "A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 23-46. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-17.


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