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A Retrospective on the Debt Crisis

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Michael P. Dooley

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Abstract

In this paper I argue that the international debt crisis of 1982 can best be understood as a prolonged negotiation between commercial banks and their own governments over who would bear the economic losses generated by loans made to developing countries. This interpretation of the debt crisis is contrasted with the more familiar approach that emphasizes conflict between debtor countries and their creditors. The main conclusion is that the failure of governments of industrial countries to resolve this conflict with their banks transformed an unremarkable financial crisis into a decade-long economic crisis for debtor countries. The analysis also suggests that recent capital inflows to developing countries are less likely to generate the same economic costs for debtor countries even if changes in the economic environment generate similar losses for investors.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 4963.

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Date of creation: Jul 1995
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:4963

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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  1. Khaled Hussein, 2001. "Is Foreign Debt Portfolio Management Efficient in Emerging Economies?," IMF Working Papers 01/121, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Scott L. Baier & Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. & Robert Tamura, 2003. "Modern economic growth and recent stagnation," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q3, pages 45-62. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gian Maria Milesi-Ferrett & Assaf Razin, 1997. "Current Account Sustainability: Selected East Asian and Latin American Experiences," NBER Working Papers 5791, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Laura Alfaro & Fabio Kanczuk, 2006. "Deuda soberana: indexación y vencimiento," RES Working Papers 4460, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  5. Laura Alfaro & Fabio Kanczuk, 2006. "Sovereign Debt: Indexation and Maturity," RES Working Papers 4459, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Dani Rodrik, 1995. "Why is there Multilateral Lending?," NBER Working Papers 5160, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Mark Illing & Ying Liu, 2003. "An Index of Financial Stress for Canada," Working Papers 03-14, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  8. Fausto Hernández Trillo & Alejandro Villagómez Amezcua, 2000. "La estructura de la deuda pública en México: Lecciones y perspectivas," RES Working Papers 3104, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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