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Asset pricing implications for a New Keynesian model

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  • Bianca De Paoli, Alasdair Scott, Olaf Weeken

    (Bank of England)

Abstract

To match the stylised facts of goods and labour markets, the canonical New Keynesian model augments the optimising neoclassical growth model with nominal and real rigidities. We ask what the implications of this type of model are for asset prices. Using a second-order numerical solution to the model, we examine bond and equity returns, the equity risk premium, and the behaviour of the real and nominal term structure. We catalogue the factors that are most important for determining the size of risk premia and the slope and level of the yeild curve. In a world of technology shocks only, increasing the degree of real rigidities raises risk premia and increasing nominal rigidities reduces risk premia. In a world of monetary policy shocks only, both real and nominal rigidities raise risk premia. The results indicate that the iimplications of the New Keynesian nodel for average asset returns depend critically on the characterisation of shocks hitting the model economy

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Paper provided by Money Macro and Finance Research Group in its series Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 with number 156.

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Date of creation: 02 Feb 2007
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Handle: RePEc:mmf:mmfc06:156

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Web page: http://www.essex.ac.uk/afm/mmf/index.html

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Keywords: Asset prices; New Keynesian; Rigidities;

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Cited by:
  1. Challe, Edouard & Giannitsarou, Chryssi, 2011. "Stock Prices and Monetary Policy Shocks: A General Equilibrium Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 8387, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Andreasen , Martin & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2011. "An efficient method of computing higher-order bond price perturbation approximations," Bank of England working papers 416, Bank of England.
  3. Martin Andreasen, 2012. "On the Effects of Rare Disasters and Uncertainty Shocks for Risk Premia in Non-Linear DSGE Models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(3), pages 295-316, July.
  4. Burkhard Heer & Alfred Maussner, 2011. "Asset Returns, the Business Cycle, and the Labor Market: A Sensitivity Analysis for the German Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series 3391, CESifo Group Munich.
  5. Martin M. Andreasen, 2010. "How Non-Gaussian Shocks Affect Risk Premia in Non-Linear DSGE Models," CREATES Research Papers 2010-63, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  6. De Paoli, Bianca & Scott, Alasdair & Weeken, Olaf, 2010. "Asset pricing implications of a New Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2056-2073, October.
  7. Michael Hatcher, 2013. "The inflation risk premium on government debt in an overlapping generations model," Working Papers 2013_17, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  8. De Paoli, Bianca & Zabczyk, Pawel, 2009. "Why do risk premia vary over time? A theoretical investigation under habit formation," Bank of England working papers 361, Bank of England.
  9. Jules van Binsbergen & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Ralph S.J. Koijen & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2010. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a DSGE Model with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 15890, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  10. Burkhard Heer & Torben Klarl & Alfred Maussner, 2012. "Asset Pricing Implications of a New Keynesian Model: A Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 4041, CESifo Group Munich.

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