The Political Feasibility of Increasing Retirement Age: Lessons from a Ballot on Female Retirement Age
AbstractIn 1998, the Swiss voters approved of an increase in female retirement age from 62 to 64. The referendum, being on a single issue only, offers a unique opportunity to explore the political feasibility of pension reforms and to apply theoretical models of life-cycle decision making. Estimates carried out with municipality data suggest that the outcome of the vote conforms relatively well with predictions drawn from a theoretical simulation study. There are, however, surprising gender differences even in married couples. Young agents, married middle-aged and all elderly men favor an increase in female retirement age, while middle-aged and elderly women strongly oppose it. Richer communities and those with a high proportion of self-employed or a low fraction of blue-collar workers are more likely to opt for a higher retirement age. Ideological preferences and regional differences also play a considerable role.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP in its series Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'Econométrie et d'Economie politique (DEEP) with number 00.27.
Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2000
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in International Tax and Public Finance, vol. 9, 2002, pp. 349-365
Contact details of provider:
Postal: Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, DEEP, Internef, CH-1015 Lausanne
Phone: ++41 21 692.33.64
Fax: ++41 21 692.33.05
Web page: http://www.hec.unil.ch/deep/publications/cahiers/series
More information through EDIRC
social security reforms; (female) retirement age; life-cycle decision making;
Other versions of this item:
- Bütler, Monika, 2001. "The Political Feasibility of Increasing Retirement Age: Lessons from a Ballot on Female Retirement Age," CEPR Discussion Papers 2780, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Butler, M., 2000. "The Political Feasibility of Increasing Retirement Age: Lessons from a Ballot on Female Retirement Age," Discussion Paper 2000-121, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- D91 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
- D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
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