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The Role of Freedom, Growth and Religion in the Taste for Revolution

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Author Info
Pezzini, Silvia (London School of Economics)
Robert MacCulloch

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Abstract

A fundamental question about the determinants of civil conflict is the relative importance of political freedoms versus economic development. This paper takes a new approach to provide an answer by using micro-data based on surveys of revolutionary tastes of 130,000 people living in 61 nations between 1981 and 1997. Controlling for personal characteristics, country and year fixed effects, more freedom and economic growth both reduce revolutionary support. Losing one level of freedom, equivalent to a shift from the US to Turkey, increases support for revolt by 4 percentage points. To reduce support by the same amount requires adding 14 percentage points onto the GDP growth rate. Being Muslim in a free country has no effect on the probability of supporting revolt compared to a non-religious person. However being Muslim in a country that is not free increases it by 13 percentage points. Being Christian in a free country decreases the chance of supporting revolt by 4 percentage points, compared to a non-religious person, and in a not-free country by 1 percentage point.

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Paper provided by Royal Economic Society in its series Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 with number 163.

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Date of creation: 04 Jun 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:ac2003:163

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Related research
Keywords: revolution freedom development growth religion

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
O1 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
Z12 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Religion

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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Silvia Pezzini & Robert MacCulloch, 2003. "The role of freedom, growth and religion in the taste for revolution," Departemental Working Papers 2003-08, Department of Economics University of Milan Italy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Klaus Abbink & Silvia Pezzini, 2005. "Determinants of Revolt: Evidence from Survey and Laboratory Data," Discussion Papers 2005-01, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham. [Downloadable!]
  3. Massimo FLORIO & Silvia VIGNETTI, 2003. "Cost-benefit analysis of infrastructure projects in an enlarged European Union: an incentive-oriented approach," Departemental Working Papers 2003-13, Department of Economics University of Milan Italy. [Downloadable!]
  4. Giovanna Nicolini & Anna Lo Presti, 2003. "Combined estimators for complex sampling," Departemental Working Papers 2003-12, Department of Economics University of Milan Italy. [Downloadable!]
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