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Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?

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  • Cockx, Bart

    ()
    (Ghent University)

  • Picchio, Matteo

    ()
    (Università Politecnica delle Marche, Ancona)

Abstract

This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 4007.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2009
Date of revision:
Publication status: published in: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2012, 74 (5), 646-675
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp4007

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Related research

Keywords: event history model; long-lasting jobs; short-lived jobs; stepping stone effect; transition data; state dependence;

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References

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