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China as a Reserve Sink: The Evidence from Offset and Sterilization Coefficients

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Author Info
Alice Y. Ouyang (Claremont Graduate University)
Ramkishen S. Rajan (George Mason University)
Thomas D. Willett (Claremont Graduate University)

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Abstract

China has been stockpiling international reserves at an extremely rapid pace since the late 1990s and has surpassed Japan to become the largest reserve holder in the world. This paper undertakes an empirical investigation to assess the extent of de facto sterilization and capital mobility using monthly data between mid 1999 and late 2005. We find that China has been able to successfully sterilize most of these reserve increases, thus making it a reserve sink such as Germany was under the Bretton Woods system. Recursive estimation of offset coefficients, however, finds evidence of increasing mobile capital flows that may undercut China's ability to continue high levels of sterilization.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research in its series Working Papers with number 102007.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: May 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:102007

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Related research
Keywords: Balance of payments; China; Capital Mobility; Reserves; Sterilization;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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References listed on IDEAS
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    Other versions:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Joshua Aizenman & Reuven Glick, 2008. "Sterilization, Monetary Policy, and Global Financial Integration," NBER Working Papers 13902, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Arslan Razmi, 2008. "Is the Chinese Investment- and Export-Led Growth Model Sustainable? Some Rising Concerns," Working Papers 2008-09, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Reuven Glick & Michael Hutchison, 2008. "Navigating the trilemma: capital flows and monetary policy in China," Working Paper Series 2008-32, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. M. Ayhan Kose & Selim Elekdag & Roberto Cardarelli, 2009. "Capital Inflows: Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses," IMF Working Papers 09/40, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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