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Cobreaking of Stock Prices and Contagion

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Author Info
Ahlgren, Niklas () (Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration)
Antell, Jan () (Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration)

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Abstract

Financial crises have shown that dramatic movements in one financial market can have a powerful impact on other markets. The paper proposes to use cobreaking to model comovements between financial markets during crises and to test for conta-gion. It finds evidence of cobreaking between stock returns in developed markets. Finding cobreaking has implications for the diversification of international investments. For emerging mar-ket stock returns the evidence of cobreaking is mainly due to the non-financial event of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001. Fi-nancial crises originating in one emerging market do not spread to other markets, i.e., no contagion.

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File URL: http://dhanken.shh.fi/dspace/bitstream/10227/284/1/537-978-952-232-000-1.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Hanken School of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 537.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 04 Jul 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhb:hanken:0537

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Postal: Hanken School of Economics, Arkadiankatu 22, P.O.B. 479; FIN 00101 Helsinki, Finland
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Related research
Keywords: cobreaking; contagion; international financial markets;

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  1. Hendry, David F. & Massmann, Michael, 2007. "Co-Breaking: Recent Advances and a Synopsis of the Literature," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 33-51, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ahlgren, Niklas & Antell, Jan, 2002. "Testing for Cointegration between International Stock Prices," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(12), pages 851-61, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Pericoli, Marcello & Sbracia, Massimo, 2005. "'Some contagion, some interdependence': More pitfalls in tests of financial contagion," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(8), pages 1177-1199, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Carmen M. Reinhart & Carlos A. Vegh, 2003. "The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 17(4), pages 51-74, Fall. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 369-80, October.
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  8. Engle, Robert F & Kozicki, Sharon, 1993. "Testing for Common Features: Reply," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(4), pages 393-95, October.
  9. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Angela Ng, 2005. "Market Integration and Contagion," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(1), pages 39-70, January. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Marcello Pericoli & Massimo Sbracia, 2003. "A Primer on Financial Contagion," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 17(4), pages 571-608, 09. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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