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Understanding Long-Term Energy Use and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the Usa

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Author Info
Richard S.J. Tol (Princeton University, Vrije Universiteit and Hamburg University)
Stephen W. Pacala (Princeton University)
Robert Socolow (Princeton University)

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Abstract

We compile a database of energy uses, energy sources, and carbon dioxide emissions for the USA for the period 1850-2002. We use a model to extrapolate the missing observations on energy use by sector. Overall emission intensity rose between 1850 and 1917, and fell between 1917 and 2002. The leading cause for the rise in emission intensity was the switch from wood to coal, but population growth, economic growth, and electrification contributed as well. After 1917, population growth, economic growth and electrification pushed emissions up further, and there was no net shift from fossil to non-fossil energy sources. From 1850 to 2002, emissions were reduced by technological and behavioural change (particularly in transport, manufacturing and households), structural change in the economy, and a shift from coal to oil and gas. These trends are stronger than electrification, explaining the fall in emissions relative to GDP.

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Paper provided by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei in its series Working Papers with number 2006.107.

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Date of creation: Aug 2006
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Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2006.107

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Related research
Keywords: Carbon Dioxide Emissions; Decomposition; Environmental Kuznets Curve; USA; History;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics
Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General

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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Richard S.J. Tol, 2006. "Carbon Dioxide Emission Scenarios For The Usa," Working Papers FNU-101, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised May 2006. [Downloadable!]
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