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Exchange Rate Pass-through in Central and Eastern European Member States

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  • Beirne, John
  • Bijsterbosch, Martin

Abstract

This paper provides estimates of the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European EU Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction model), we show that ERPT to consumer prices averages about 0.6 using the cointegrated VAR and 0.5 using the impulse responses. We also find that the ERPT seems to be higher for countries that have adopted some form of fixed exchange rate regime. These results are robust to alternative normalisation of the VAR and alternative ordering of the impulse responses. JEL Classification: E31, F31

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 1120.

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Date of creation: Dec 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20091120

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Keywords: central and eastern Europe; Exchange Rate Pass-Through; inflation;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Catherine Prettner & Klaus Prettner, 2012. " After Two Decades of Integration: How Interdependent are Eastern European Economies and the Euro Area?," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp138, Vienna University of Economics, Department of Economics.
  2. Beirne, John & Bijsterbosch, Martin, 2011. "Exchange rate pass-through in central and eastern European EU Member States," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 241-254, March.
  3. Xiaowen Jin, 2012. "An Empirical Study of Exchange Rate Pass-Through in China," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(2), pages 135-156, May.
  4. Sánchez, Marcelo, 2009. "Monetary Union of Small Open Economies: The Role of Trasparency Misperceptions," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio di Genova, vol. 62(4), pages 469-504.

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