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Coordination on Saddle-Path Solutions: the Eductive Viewpoint - Linear Multivariate Models

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  • George W. Evans
  • Roger Guesnerie

Abstract

We examine local strong rationality (LSR) in multivariate models with both forward-looking expectations and predetermined variables. Given hypothetical common knowledge restrictions that the dynamics will be close to those of a specified minimal state variable solution, we obtain eductive stability conditions for the solution to be LSR. In the saddlepoint stable case the saddle-path solution is LSR provided the model is structurally homogeneous across agents. However, the eductive stability conditions are strictly more demanding when heterogeneity is present, as can be expected in multisectoral models. Heterogeneity is thus a potentially important source of instability even in the saddlepoint stable case.

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Paper provided by DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) in its series DELTA Working Papers with number 2003-28.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:del:abcdef:2003-28

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Cited by:
  1. Gliksberg, Baruch, . "The Role of Consumption-Labor Complementarity as a Source of Macroeconomic Instability," Working Papers WP2010/3, University of Haifa, Department of Economics, revised 01 Jun 2010.
  2. Richard Dennis & Tatiana Kirsanova, 2013. "Expectations Traps and Coordination Failures with Discretionary Policymaking," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2013-611, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
  3. George W. Evans & Roger Guesnerie & Bruce McGough, 2010. "Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2010-16, University of Oregon Economics Department.
  4. Colucci, Domenico & Valori, Vincenzo, 2011. "Adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena: Does heterogeneity matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1307-1321, August.
  5. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00565011 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00574957 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Jara-Moroni, Pedro, 2012. "Rationalizability in games with a continuum of players," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 668-684.
  8. Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori, 2009. "Heterogeneous adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2009-01, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
  9. Yuting Bai & Tatiana Kirsanova, 2013. "Infrequent Fiscal Stabilization," Working Papers 2013_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  10. Mordecai Kurz, 2011. "Symposium: on the role of market belief in economic dynamics, an introduction," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 189-204, June.
  11. Cho, In-Koo, 2005. "Introduction to learning and bounded rationality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 127-128, October.
  12. Gaballo, Gaetano, 2013. "Eductive learning and the rationalizability of oligopoly games," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 401-404.
  13. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00587863 is not listed on IDEAS

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