Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results

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Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results

Author Info

Honkapohja, Seppo
Evans, George W.

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Abstract

Drawing upon recent contributions in the statistical literature, we present a new result on the convergence of recursive, stochastic algorithms which can be applied to eonomic models with learning. The formal result provides probability bounds for convergence which can be used to describe the local stability under learning of rational expectations equilibria. Our treatment also generalizes previous results by permitting the state variable to follow a nonlinear Markov process. Two economic applications are discussed.

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Paper provided by CESifo Group Munich in its series CESifo Working Paper Series with number CESifo Working Paper No. 110.

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Date of creation: 1996
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Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_110

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Article
- Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo, 1998. "Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 65(1), pages 23-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Paper
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, . "Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results," Computing in Economics and Finance 1997 51, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]

Cited by:
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Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2006. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogeneous Agents," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(2), pages 284-309, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 2004. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/17, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
- Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2002. "Learning stability in economics with heterogenous agents," Working Paper Series 120, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
Atanas Christev, 2006. "Learning Hyperinflations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 475, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Atanas Christev, 2007. "Learning Hyperinflations," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 126, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
Evans , George W & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2007. "Robust learning stability with operational monetary policy rules," Research Discussion Papers 31/2007, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2007. " Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules," CDMA Working Paper Series 0719, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2008. "Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 504, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, . " Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0808, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
- Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2008. "Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules," CEPR Discussion Papers 6641, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Shurojit Chatterji & Ignacio Lobato, 2009. "Transformations of the State Variable and Learning Dynamics," Working Papers 0902, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Shurojit Chatterji & Ignacio Lobato, 2007. "Transformations of the State Variable and Learning Dynamics," Working Papers 0708, Centro de Investigacion Economica, ITAM. [Downloadable!]
Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2002. "Performance of monetary policy with nternal Central Bank forecasting," Working Paper Series 127, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 2004. "Performance of Monetary Policy with Internal Central Bank Forecasting," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/18, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004. [Downloadable!]
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002. "Performance of monetary policy with internal central bank forecasting," Research Discussion Papers 3/2002, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2005. "Performance of monetary policy with internal central bank forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 627-658, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2007. " Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning," CDMA Working Paper Series 0717, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2007. "Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2007-5, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 13 Dec 2008. [Downloadable!]
- Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2007. "Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning," CEPR Discussion Papers 6216, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Evans, G.W. & Honkapohja ,S. & Mitra, K., 2007. "Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0705, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Paul Romer, 1996. "Growth Cycles," NBER Working Papers 5659, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Paul Romer & George Evans & Seppo Hokapohja, . "Growth Cycles," Home Pages _001, Stanford University. [Downloadable!]
- Evans, Geroge W & Honkapohja, Seppo & Romer, Paul, 1998. "Growth Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 495-515, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Vitor Gaspar & Frank Smets & David Vestin, 2006. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Adaptive Learning," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 183, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
Jondeau, E. & Le Bihan, H., 2003. "ML vs GMM Estimates of Hybrid Macroeconomic Models (With an Application to the New Phillips Curve)," Documents de Travail 103, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Eric JONDEAU & Hervé LE BIHAN, 2003. "ML vs GMM Estimates of Hybrid Macroeconomic Models (With an Application to the "New Phillips Curve")," Econometrics 0303004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
- Eric JONDEAU & Herve LE BIHAN, 2003. "ML vs GMM Estimates of Hybrid Macroeconomic Models (With an Application to the "New Phillips Curve")," Econometrics 0303006, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
- Eric JONDEAU & Herve LE BIHAN, 2004. "ML vs GMM Estimates of Hybrid Macroeconomic Models (With an Application to the "New Phillips Curve")," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 270, Econometric Society.
James Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005. "Near-rational exuberance," Working Paper Series 555, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- James Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2005. "Near-Rational Exuberance," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2005-15, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 18 Sep 2006. [Downloadable!]
- Bullard, J. & Evans, G.W. & Honkapohja ,S., 2005. "Near-Rational Exuberance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0546, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
- James Bullard & George Evans, 2004. "Near-Rational Exuberance," 2004 Meeting Papers 465, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- James B. Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2004. "Near-rational exuberance," Working Papers 2004-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
In-Koo Cho & Thomas J. Sargent, 2000. "Escaping Nash inflation," Working Paper Series 23, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Cho, In-Koo & Williams, Noah & Sargent, Thomas J, 2002. "Escaping Nash Inflation," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 69(1), pages 1-40, January.
Ricardo Nunes, 2005. "Learning the inflation target," Macroeconomics 0504033, EconWPA, revised 26 Apr 2005. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Nunes, Ricardo, 2009. "Learning The Inflation Target," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(02), pages 167-188, April. [Downloadable!]
James B. Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2007. "A model of near-rational exuberance," Working Papers 2007-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- James Bullard & George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2009. " A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance," CDMA Working Paper Series 0902, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]

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