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Long run Effects of Public Sector Sponsored Training in West Germany

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  • Lechner, Michael
  • Miquel, Ruth
  • Wunsch, Conny

Abstract

Between 1991 and 1997 West Germany spent on average about 3.6bn euro per year on public sector sponsored training programmes for the unemployed. We base our empirical analysis on a new administrative database that plausibly allows for selectivity correction by microeconometric matching methods. We identify the effects of different types of training programmes over a horizon of more than seven years. Using bias corrected weighted multiple neighbours matching we find that all programmes have negative effects in the short run and positive effects over a horizon of about four years. For substantive training programmes with duration of about two years gains in employment probabilities of more than 10% points appear to be sustainable, but come at the price of large negative lock-in effects.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 4851.

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Date of creation: Jan 2005
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4851

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Keywords: active labour market policy; matching estimation; panel data; programme evaluation;

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References

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  1. Ashenfelter, Orley C, 1978. "Estimating the Effect of Training Programs on Earnings," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(1), pages 47-57, February.
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  24. Michael Lechner, 2004. "Sequential Matching Estimation of Dynamic Causal Models," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2004 2004-06, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
  25. Robert G. Fay, 1996. "Enhancing the Effectiveness of Active Labour Market Policies: Evidence from Programme Evaluations in OECD Countries," OECD Labour Market and Social Policy Occasional Papers 18, OECD Publishing.
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  29. Prey, Hedwig, 1997. "Beschäftigungswirkungen von öffentlich geförderten Qualifizierungsmaßnahmen: Eine Paneluntersuchung für Westdeutschland," Discussion Papers 41, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
  30. Ours, J.C. van, 2004. "The locking-in effect of subsidized jobs," Open Access publications from Tilburg University urn:nbn:nl:ui:12-140882, Tilburg University.
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