Determinants and projections of demand for higher education in Portugal
AbstractThis paper formulates a model of demand for higher education in Portugal considering a wide range of demographic, economic, social and institutional explanatory variables. The estimation results suggest that the number of applicants reacts positively to demographic trends, graduation rates at secondary education, female participation, compulsory schooling and the recent Bologna process. Demand reacts negatively to the existence of tuition fees and to unemployment rates. Within an adverse demographic and economic context, forecasts of demand for the next two decades suggest the need to increase participation rates, to avoid funding problems in the higher education system and increase long-term economic development prospects.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal) in its series CEFAGE-UE Working Papers with number 2011_15.
Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision:
Demand for higher education; determinants of university participation; applications forecasting.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
- I22 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Educational Finance; Financial Aid
- I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-07-02 (All new papers)
- NEP-EDU-2011-07-02 (Education)
- NEP-EUR-2011-07-02 (Microeconomic European Issues)
- NEP-FOR-2011-07-02 (Forecasting)
- NEP-LAB-2011-07-02 (Labour Economics)
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