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Migration, Trade and Unemployment

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  • Benedikt Heid
  • Mario Larch

Abstract

A source of anxiety of policy makers and the public in general is the detrimental impact of globalization and immigration on unemployment. The transitory restrictions for worker migration after the EU enlargements of 2004 and 2007 exemplify the supposed negative effect of immigration on labor markets. This paper aims to identify the effects of immigration alongside trade on unemployment taking into account the substitutability of worker and goods flows. We use data from 24 OECD countries over the period from 1997 to 2007 and employ instrumental variables fixed effects and dynamic panel estimators in order to account for unobserved heterogeneity as well as the potential endogeneity of migration flows and the high persistence of unemployment. We find a significant negative effect of immigration on unemployment on average.

Suggested Citation

  • Benedikt Heid & Mario Larch, 2011. "Migration, Trade and Unemployment," ifo Working Paper Series 115, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifowps:_115
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    5. Mihi-Ramírez Antonio & Ojeda-González Sara & Miranda-Martel María José & Agoh Eugene, 2016. "The Contribution of Migration to Economics Growth. Evidence from Spain," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 124-130, August.
    6. Yasir Khan & Taimoor Hassan & Wang Ming Yi & Rahimullah Gulzar, 2018. "A Comparative Analysis Based on Economic Factors of Students Emigration from South Asia," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(2), pages 201-208.
    7. Antonio Mihi-Ramírez, 2016. "Trends in the International Academic Migration: A Case of Spain," Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, Centre for Strategic and International Entrepreneurship at the Cracow University of Economics., vol. 4(1), pages 113-128.
    8. Alamá-Sabater, Luisa & Heid, Benedikt & Jiménez-Fernández, Eduardo & Márquez-Ramos, Laura, 2016. "What drives interdependence of FDI among host countries? The role of geographic proximity and similarity in public debt," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 466-474.
    9. Heid, Benedikt & Larch, Mario, 2016. "Gravity with unemployment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 70-85.
    10. Heid, Benedikt, 2014. "Preferential Trade Agreements, Unemployment, and the Informal Sector," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100376, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Elena-Maria PRADA & Monica ROMAN, 2014. "Migration And Social Protection Expenditures: Empirical Evidence From The Eu Countries," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 33-44, DECEMBER.

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    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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