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Turkey and the EU: Politics and Economics of Accession

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  • Harry Flam

Abstract

This paper discusses political and economic aspects of Turkish accession. Under present rules, Turkey would have the greatest number of council votes within twenty years, and receive the largest budget transfer. Free migration may increase the Turkish immigrant population in Germany from 2 to 3.5 million in thirty years. Most of the economic effects will be felt by Turkey, particularly in agriculture. The main obstacles to accession are not economic, but political. Historical experience prevents Turkey from eliminating the decisive political role of the military, giving Kurds and other minorities cultural rights and upholding basic human rights.

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Paper provided by CESifo Group Munich in its series CESifo Working Paper Series with number 893.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_893

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Keywords: Turkey;

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Cited by:
  1. Nazlioglu, Saban & Erdem, Ekrem, 2010. "Impacts of Turkey’s Integration into the European Union on Agricultural Markets and Income Distribution," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 11(1), January.
  2. Sule Akkoyunlu, 2010. "Can trade, aid, foreign direct investments and remittances curb migration from Turkey?," Migration Letters, Transnational Press London, UK, Transnational Press London, UK, vol. 7(2), pages 144-158, October.
  3. Demet Beton & Glenn Jenkins, 2008. "Migration from Turkey and the Uncertainty of the Accession of Turkey to the EU," Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics 1182, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
  4. Gül, ERTAN ÖZGÜZER, 2007. "May Free Capital mobility before accession be unfavorable for admission to the EU ?," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques 2007035, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
  5. Lejour, Arjan Marcel & Mervar, Andrea & Verweij, Gerard, 2008. "The Economic Effects of Croatia's Accession to the EU," Economics Discussion Papers 2008-6, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  6. Burrell, Alison M. & Kurzweil, Marianne, 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Turkey," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper, World Bank 48388, World Bank.
  7. Ansgar Belke, 2004. "Turkey and the EU: On the costs and benefits of integrating a small but dynamic economy," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer, Springer, vol. 39(6), pages 288-292, November.
  8. Antonucci, Daniele & Manzocchi, Stefano, 2006. "Does Turkey have a special trade relation with the EU?: A gravity model approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 157-169, June.
  9. Arjan M. Lejour & Ruud A. Mooij, 2005. "Turkish Delight: Does Turkey's Accession to the EU Bring Economic Benefits?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 87-120, 02.
  10. Arjan Lejour & Gerard Verweij & A. Mervar, 2007. "The economic effects Croatia's accession to the EU," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis 154, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  11. Ansgar Belke & Nilgün Terzibas, 2003. "Die Integrationsbemühungen der Türkei aus ökonomischer Sicht," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany 230/2003, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
  12. Sule Akkoyunlu & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2006. "Modelling Turkish Migration to Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 595, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  13. Duygu Turker, 2009. "Measuring Corporate Social Responsibility: A Scale Development Study," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, Springer, vol. 85(4), pages 411-427, April.
  14. Tausch, Arno & Ghymers, Christian, 2011. "Los católicos globales. El primer sondeo global del catolicismo mundial según el “World Values Survey” y el “European Social Survey”
    [Global Catholics. The first global opinion survey of
    ," MPRA Paper 33228, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Arjan Lejour & Ruud de Mooij & Clem Capel, 2004. "Assessing the economic implications of Turkish accession to the EU," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis 56, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  16. Ari, Ali, 2006. "L’Adhésion de la Turquie à l’Union Européenne: Une Evaluation Macroéconomique dans la Perspective des Critères de Copenhague
    [The Turkish Membership to the EU: A Macroeconomic Evaluation i
    ," MPRA Paper 25859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  17. Antonis Adam & Thomas Moutos, 2005. "Turkish Delight for Some, Cold Turkey for Others?: The Effects of the EU-Turkey Customs Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 1550, CESifo Group Munich.
  18. Grethe, Harald, 2004. "Turkey's Accession to the EU: What Will the Common Agricultural Policy Cost?," Working Paper Series, Humboldt University Berlin, Department Agricultural Economics 18821, Humboldt University Berlin, Department Agricultural Economics.

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