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Populist Policies in the Transition to Democracy Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Daniel Mejía ()
Carlos Esteban Posada ()
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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number
349.
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Keywords: This paper develops a political economy model that provides an explanation as for why ruling elites in oligarquic societies may rely on income redistribution to the poor (the masses) in order to prevent them from attempting a revolution. We refer to this kind of redistribution as populist redistribution because ; first it does not increase the poor’s productive capacity (human capital) ; and second it seeks to “buy” political support (peace) to perpetuate the elite’s control of political power. We examine the conditions under which ruling elites choose to deter the poor (by means of military repression and/or populist redistribution) ; to engage in a dispute with the poor for the control of political power ; or ; alternatively ; to extend democracy. According to the results of the model populist redistribution (or military repression) ; if any ; increases with initial wealth inequality and with the amount of redistribution that the poor can undertake under democracy ; and decreases with the relative importance of a human capital externality in production. The model explains why in some cases the use of an apparently ine cient policy of populist redistribution turns out to be optimal for both groups (the ruling elite and the poor class) when the alternative is to use of military repression or default to conflict. ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government D73 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Bureaucracy; Administrative Processes in Public Organizations; Corruption D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy-Making and Implementation D30 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - General
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Oded Galor, 2009.
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