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Social Conflict and Populist Policies in Latin America

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Jeffrey D. Sachs
Abstract

The central hypothesis of this paper is that high income inequality in Latin America contributes to intense political pressures for macroeconomic policies to raise the incomes of lower income groups, which in turn contributes to bad policy choices and weak economic performance. The paper looks in detail at one common type of policy failure: the populist policy cycle. This particular type of Latin American policymaking, characterized by overly expansionary macroeconomic policies which lead to high inflation and severe balance of payments crises, has been repeated so often, and with such common characteristics, that it plainly reveals the linkages from social conflict to poor economic performance.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 2897.

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Date of creation: Mar 1989
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:2897

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  1. McCallum, John, 1983. "Inflation and Social Consensus in the Seventies," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 93(372), pages 784-805, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Thorvaldur Gylfason, 2001. "Nature, Power, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 1998. "Monetary policy and the well-being of the poor," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 159-201. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Giorgio Bellettini & Carlotta Berti Ceroni, 1999. "Is Social Security Really Bad for Growth?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 2(4), pages 796-819, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, 2006. "The Political Economy of Global Economic Disgovernance," Textos para discussão 151, Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  5. Robert Lavigne, 2006. "The Institutional and Political Determinants of Fiscal Adjustment," Working Papers 06-1, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  6. Gylfason, Thorvaldur, 2000. "Resources, Agriculture, and Economic Growth in Economies in Transition," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Daniel Mejía & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2005. "Populist Policies In The Transition To Democracy," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003357, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, 2009. "A tendência à sobreapreciação da taxa de câmbio," Textos para discussão 183, Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  9. Jess Benhabib & Andres Velasco, 1995. "On the economics of fiscal populism in an open economy," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 97, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Dutta, Indranil & Mishra, Ajit, 2005. "Does Inequality lead to Conflict?," Working Papers RP2005/34, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  11. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, 2000. "After Structuralism, a Development Alternative For Latin America," Textos para discussão 99, Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  12. Pereira, Luiz C. Bresser & Nakano, Yoshiaki, 2002. "Economic Growth With Foreign Saving?," Textos para discussão 118, Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  13. Manoel Bittencourt, 2009. "Polarisation, Populism and Hyperinflation[s]: Some Evidence from Latin America," Working Papers 200921, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  14. Gerold Blümle & Friedrich Sell, 1998. "A positive theory of optimal personal income distribution and growth," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(4), pages 331-352, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Alfredo Pereira, 1994. "The debt crisis: lessons of the 1980's for the 1990's," International Finance Discussion Papers 481, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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