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Macroeconomic Populism in Latin America

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Author Info
Rudiger Dornbusch
Sebastian Edwards

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Abstract

Macroeconomic populism is an approach to economics that emphasizes growth and income distribution and deemphasizes the risks of inflation and deficit finance, external constraints and the reaction of economic agents to aggressive non-market policies. The purpose of our paper is to show that policy experiences in different countries and periods share common features, from the initial conditions, the motivation for policies, the argument that the country's conditions are different, to the ultimate collapse. Our purpose in setting out these experiences, those of Chile under Allende and of Peru under Garcia, is not a righteous assertion of conservative economics, but rather a warning that populist policies do ultimately fail; and when they fail it is always at a frightening cost to the very groups who were supposed to be favored. Our central thesis is that the macroeconomics of various experiences is very much the same, even if the politics differed greatly.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 2986.

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Date of creation: Mar 1991
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:2986

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  1. P. Ruben Mercado, 2001. "Macroeconomic Volatility during Argentina’s Import Substitution Stage," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 151-161, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Frisell, Lars, 2004. "Populism," Working Paper Series 166, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
  3. Acemoglu, Daron & Robinson, James A, 1999. "A Theory of Political Transitions," CEPR Discussion Papers 2277, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Mark Aguiar & Gita Gopinath, 2004. "Defaultable Debt, Interest Rates and the Current Account," NBER Working Papers 10731, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Pablo Astorga & Ame R. Bergés & Valpy Fitzgerald, 2003. "Productivity Growth in Latin America during the Twentieth Century," Oxford University Economic and Social History Series _052, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  6. Enrique G. Mendoza & Ceyhun Bora Durdu, 2004. "Putting the brakes on Sudden Stops: the financial frictions - moral hazard tradeoff of asset price guarantees," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Pedro Cezar Dutra Fonseca, 2003. "Legitimidade e Credibilidade: Impasses da Política Econômica do Governo Goulart," Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 31th Brazilian Economics Meeting] a09, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
  8. Fabio Giambiagi & Márcio Valério Ronci, 2004. "Fiscal Policy and Debt Sustainability: Cardoso's Brazil, 1995-2002," IMF Working Papers 04/156, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. William Keech, 2004. "Democracy, Dictatorship and Economic Performance in Chile," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 332, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  10. Alan M. Taylor, 1999. "Latin America and Foreign Capital in the Twentieth Century: Economics, Politics, and Institutional Change," NBER Working Papers 7394, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Sebastian Edwards, 1996. "Public Sector Deficits and Macroeconomic Stability in Developing Countries," NBER Working Papers 5407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Mark Aguiar & Gita Gopinath, 2004. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle is the Trend," NBER Working Papers 10734, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Alberto Alesina & George-Marios Angeletos, 2005. "Corruption, Inequality and Fairness," NBER Working Papers 11399, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Leite, Phillippe G. & Ravallion, Martin, 2007. "Poverty reduction without economic growth ? explaining Brazil's poverty dynamics, 1985-2004," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4431, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  15. Schady, Norbert R., 1999. "Seeking votes - the political economy of expenditures by the Peruvian Social Fund (FONCODES), 1991-95," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2166, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  16. Sebastian Edwards, 1999. "How Effective Are Capital Controls?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 65-84, Fall. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 1997. "Institutions for Monetary Stability," NBER Working Papers 5557, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Edward L. Glaeser & Andrei Shleifer, 2002. "The Injustice of Inequality," NBER Working Papers 9150, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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