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Cathy W. S. Chen

Personal Details

First Name:Cathy W. S.
Middle Name:
Last Name:Chen
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pch735
https://sites.google.com/view/cwschen/home
Department of Statistics School of Business, Feng Chia University Taichung 407, Taiwan
886-424517250x4412

Affiliation

College of Business
Feng Chia University

Taichung, Taiwan
http://www.cob.fcu.edu.tw/
RePEc:edi:cbfcutw (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters Editorship

Working papers

  1. CHEN, Cathy W.S. & WENG, Monica M.C. & WATANABE, Toshiaki & 渡部, 渡部, 2015. "Employing Bayesian Forecasting of Value-at-Risk to Determine an Appropriate Model for Risk Management," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-16, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
  2. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lin, Edward M.H., 2014. "Bayesian Assessment of Dynamic Quantile Forecasts," Working Papers 2014-04, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
  3. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard, 2014. "Semi-parametric Expected Shortfall Forecasting," Working Papers 2014_02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
  4. Cathy Chen & Junichi Hirukawa & Hiroshi Shiraishi & Kenichiro Tamaki & Masanobu Taniguchi & David Veredas, 2012. "Statistical Estimation of Portfolios for Dependent Financial Returns," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/136659, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  5. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lin, Liou-Yan, 2012. "Bayesian Semi-parametric Expected Shortfall Forecasting in Financial M arkets," Working Papers 12 BAWP, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
  6. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lee, Wcw & Lin, Edward M.H., 2011. "Bayesian Forecasting for Financial Risk Management, Pre and Post the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers 03/2011, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
  7. Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics 11/22, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  8. Chan, Nancy Y. C. & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard, 2009. "Bayesian time-varying quantile forecasting for Value-at-Risk in financial markets," Working Papers 9 OMEWP, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.

Articles

  1. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Chen, Chun-Shu & Hsiung, Mo-Hua, 2023. "Bayesian modeling of spatial integer-valued time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  2. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Lin, Edward M.H., 2023. "Bayesian estimation of realized GARCH-type models with application to financial tail risk management," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-46.
  3. Manh Cuong Dong & Cathy W. S. Chen & Manabu Asai, 2023. "Bayesian non‐linear quantile effects on modelling realized kernels," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 981-995, January.
  4. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Liu, Feng-Chi & Pingal, Aljo Clair, 2023. "Integer-valued transfer function models for counts that show zero inflation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  5. Wang, Kai Y.K. & Chen, Cathy W.S. & So, Mike K.P., 2023. "Quantile three-factor model with heteroskedasticity, skewness, and leptokurtosis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  6. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Hsu, Hsiao-Yun & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2023. "Tail risk forecasting of realized volatility CAViaR models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  7. Cathy W S Chen & Tsai-Hung Fan, 2022. "Public opinion concerning governments’ response to the COVID-19 pandemic," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(3), pages 1-10, March.
  8. Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin & Tara F. J. Huang, 2022. "Bayesian quantile forecasting via the realized hysteretic GARCH model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1317-1337, November.
  9. Cathy W. S. Chen & Bonny Lee, 2021. "Bayesian inference of multiple structural change models with asymmetric GARCH errors," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(3), pages 1053-1078, September.
  10. Lin, Tsai-Yu & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Syu, Fong-Yi, 2021. "Multi-asset pair-trading strategy: A statistical learning approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  11. Cathy W. S. Chen & Sangyeol Lee & K. Khamthong, 2021. "Bayesian inference of nonlinear hysteretic integer-valued GARCH models for disease counts," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 261-281, March.
  12. Cathy W. S. Chen & Hong Than-Thi & Manabu Asai, 2021. "On a Bivariate Hysteretic AR-GARCH Model with Conditional Asymmetry in Correlations," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 413-433, August.
  13. Cathy W.S. Chen & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2019. "Bayesian modeling and forecasting of Value‐at‐Risk via threshold realized volatility," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(3), pages 747-765, May.
  14. Manh Cuong Dong & Cathy W. S. Chen & Sangyoel Lee & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "How Strong is the Relationship Among Gold and USD Exchange Rates? Analytics Based on Structural Change Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 343-366, January.
  15. Cathy W. S. Chen & Khemmanant Khamthong & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "Markov switching integer‐valued generalized auto‐regressive conditional heteroscedastic models for dengue counts," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 68(4), pages 963-983, August.
  16. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Dong, Manh Cuong & Liu, Nathan & Sriboonchitta, Songsak, 2019. "Inferences of default risk and borrower characteristics on P2P lending," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  17. Cathy W.S. Chen & Hong Than‐Thi & Mike K.P. So & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "Quantile forecasting based on a bivariate hysteretic autoregressive model with GARCH errors and time ‐varying correlations," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(6), pages 1301-1321, November.
  18. Dong, Manh Cuong & Tian, Shaonan & Chen, Cathy W.S., 2018. "Predicting failure risk using financial ratios: Quantile hazard model approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 204-220.
  19. Sangyeol Lee & Siyun Park & Cathy W. S. Chen, 2017. "On Fisher’s dispersion test for integer-valued autoregressive Poisson models with applications," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(20), pages 9985-9994, October.
  20. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lin, Tsai-Yu, 2017. "Nonparametric tolerance limits for pair trading," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 1-9.
  21. Cathy W. S. Chen & Sangyeol Lee, 2017. "Bayesian causality test for integer-valued time series models with applications to climate and crime data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 797-814, August.
  22. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Wang, Zona & Sriboonchitta, Songsak & Lee, Sangyeol, 2017. "Pair trading based on quantile forecasting of smooth transition GARCH models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 38-55.
  23. Cathy W. S. Chen & Muyi Li & Nga T. H. Nguyen & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2017. "On Asymmetric Market Model with Heteroskedasticity and Quantile Regression," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(1), pages 155-174, January.
  24. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lee, Sangyeol, 2016. "Generalized Poisson autoregressive models for time series of counts," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 51-67.
  25. Cathy W.S. Chen & Mike K.P. So & Thomas C. Chiang, 2016. "Evidence of Stock Returns and Abnormal Trading Volume: A Threshold Quantile Regression Approach," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 67(1), pages 96-124, March.
  26. Buu‐Chau Truong & Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So, 2016. "Model selection of a switching mechanism for financial time series," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(6), pages 836-851, November.
  27. Richard Gerlach & Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin, 2016. "Bayesian Assessment of Dynamic Quantile Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 751-764, December.
  28. Richard Gerlach & Cathy W. S. Chen, 2016. "Bayesian Expected Shortfall Forecasting Incorporating the Intraday Range," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 128-158.
  29. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lin, Edward M.H., 2014. "Bayesian estimation of smoothly mixing time-varying parameter GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 194-209.
  30. S.T. Boris Choy & Cathy W.S. Chen & Edward M.H. Lin, 2014. "Bivariate asymmetric GARCH models with heavy tails and dynamic conditional correlations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(7), pages 1297-1313, July.
  31. Cathy Chen & Richard Gerlach, 2013. "Semi-parametric quantile estimation for double threshold autoregressive models with heteroskedasticity," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1103-1131, June.
  32. Cathy Chen & Feng-Chi Liu & Mike So, 2013. "Threshold variable selection of asymmetric stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(6), pages 2415-2447, December.
  33. Cathy Chen & Shu-Yu Chen & Sangyeol Lee, 2013. "Bayesian Unit Root Test in Double Threshold Heteroskedastic Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 471-490, December.
  34. Cathy Chen & Simon Lin & Philip Yu, 2012. "Smooth Transition Quantile Capital Asset Pricing Models with Heteroscedasticity," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 40(1), pages 19-48, June.
  35. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
  36. Cathy W.S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Edward M. H. Lin & W. C. W. Lee, 2012. "Bayesian Forecasting for Financial Risk Management, Pre and Post the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(8), pages 661-687, December.
  37. Lin, Edward M.H. & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard, 2012. "Forecasting volatility with asymmetric smooth transition dynamic range models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 384-399.
  38. Chan, J.S.K. & Lam, C.P.Y. & Yu, P.L.H. & Choy, S.T.B. & Chen, C.W.S., 2012. "A Bayesian conditional autoregressive geometric process model for range data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3006-3019.
  39. Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard H. Gerlach & Ann M. H. Lin, 2011. "Multi-regime nonlinear capital asset pricing models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(9), pages 1421-1438, April.
  40. Cathy Chen & Feng Liu & Richard Gerlach, 2011. "Bayesian subset selection for threshold autoregressive moving-average models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 1-30, March.
  41. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Chan, Jennifer S.K. & So, Mike K.P. & Lee, Kevin K.M., 2011. "Classification in segmented regression problems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 2276-2287, July.
  42. Gerlach, Richard H. & Chen, Cathy W. S. & Chan, Nancy Y. C., 2011. "Bayesian Time-Varying Quantile Forecasting for Value-at-Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(4), pages 481-492.
  43. Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard H. Gerlach & Ann M. H. Lin, 2010. "Falling and explosive, dormant, and rising markets via multiple‐regime financial time series models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 28-49, January.
  44. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Wei, D.C.M., 2009. "Bayesian causal effects in quantiles: Accounting for heteroscedasticity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 1993-2007, April.
  45. Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So & Edward M. H. Lin, 2009. "Volatility forecasting with double Markov switching GARCH models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(8), pages 681-697.
  46. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Cheng, Nick Y.P. & Yang, Y.L., 2009. "The impact of structural breaks on the integration of the ASEAN-5 stock markets," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2654-2664.
  47. Lai, YiHao & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard, 2009. "Optimal dynamic hedging via copula-threshold-GARCH models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2609-2624.
  48. So, Mike K.P. & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lee, Jen-Yu & Chang, Yi-Ping, 2008. "An empirical evaluation of fat-tailed distributions in modeling financial time series," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 96-108.
  49. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lin, Edward M.H., 2008. "Volatility forecasting using threshold heteroskedastic models of the intra-day range," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 2990-3010, February.
  50. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard H. & Tai, Amanda P.J., 2008. "Testing for nonlinearity in mean and volatility for heteroskedastic models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(3), pages 489-499.
  51. Mike K. P. So & Cathy W. S. Chen & Thomas C. Chiang & Doris S. Y. Lin, 2007. "Modelling financial time series with threshold nonlinearity in returns and trading volume," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(4), pages 319-338, July.
  52. Thomas C. Chiang & Cathy W.S. Chen & Mike K.P. So, 2007. "Asymmetric Return and Volatility Responses to Composite News from Stock Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 11(3-4), pages 179-210, September.
  53. Mike K. P. So & Cathy W. S. Chen & Feng‐Chi Liu, 2006. "Best subset selection of autoregressive models with exogenous variables and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity errors," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 55(2), pages 201-224, April.
  54. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Yang, Ming Jing & Gerlach, Richard & Jim Lo, H., 2006. "The asymmetric reactions of mean and volatility of stock returns to domestic and international information based on a four-regime double-threshold GARCH model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 366(C), pages 401-418.
  55. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & So, Mike K.P., 2006. "Comparison of nonnested asymmetric heteroskedastic models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2164-2178, December.
  56. Gerlach, Richard & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lin, Doris S.Y. & Huang, Ming-Hsiang, 2006. "Asymmetric responses of international stock markets to trading volume," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 360(2), pages 422-444.
  57. Cathy W. S. Chen & Ying-Hen Hsieh, 2006. "Bias may be unintentional but it's still there," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7072), pages 18-18, January.
  58. Hsieh, Ying-Hen & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lee, Shen-Ming & Chen, Yi-Ming A. & Wu, Shiow-Ing & Lai, Shu-Fen & Chang, An-Lung, 2006. "Estimating the Number of HIV-infected gay sauna patrons in Taipei area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 362(2), pages 495-503.
  59. Chen, Cathy W.S. & So, Mike K.P., 2006. "On a threshold heteroscedastic model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 73-89.
  60. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Yu, Tiffany H.K., 2005. "Long-term dependence with asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity in stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 413-424.
  61. Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So & Richard H. Gerlach, 2005. "Asymmetric response and interaction of U.S. and local news in financial markets," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(3), pages 273-288, May.
  62. Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So & Ming-Tien Chen, 2005. "A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 61-75.
  63. Cathy W. S. Chen & Mike K. P. So, 2003. "Subset threshold autoregression," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 49-66.
  64. Chen, Cathy W. S. & Chiang, Thomas C. & So, Mike K. P., 2003. "Asymmetrical reaction to US stock-return news: evidence from major stock markets based on a double-threshold model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(5-6), pages 487-502.
  65. Cathy W. S. Chen & Tsai-Hung Cherng & Berlin Wu, 2001. "On the Selection of Subset Bilinear Time Series Models: a Genetic Algorithm Approach," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 505-517, December.
  66. Chen, Cathy W. S. & Lee, Shen-Ming & Hsieh, Ying-Hen & Ungchusak, Kumnuan, 1999. "A unified approach to estimating population size for a births only model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 29-46, November.
  67. Chen, Cathy W. S., 1998. "A Bayesian analysis of generalized threshold autoregressive models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 15-22, September.
  68. Chen, Cathy W. S., 1997. "Detection of additive outliers in bilinear time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 283-294, May.
  69. Cathy W. S. Chen & Jack C. Lee, 1995. "Bayesian Inference Of Threshold Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(5), pages 483-492, September.

Chapters

  1. Cathy W.S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Mike K.P. So, 2008. "Bayesian model selection for heteroskedastic models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Econometrics, pages 567-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

Editorship

  1. Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 7 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (5) 2011-05-30 2011-05-30 2014-05-24 2014-09-29 2015-12-20. Author is listed
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (5) 2011-05-30 2011-06-25 2014-05-24 2014-09-29 2015-12-20. Author is listed
  3. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (5) 2011-05-30 2011-06-25 2014-05-24 2014-09-29 2015-12-20. Author is listed
  4. NEP-BAN: Banking (3) 2011-05-30 2011-06-25 2011-07-13
  5. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (3) 2011-05-30 2011-05-30 2011-06-25
  6. NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2014-09-29

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