Price exhaustion and number preference: time and price confluence in Australian stock prices
AbstractConfluence occurs when different trading filters generate signals that point to the same directional move. Using regression analysis, this paper investigates confluence trading signals associated with number preference and price exhaustion, for a sample of Australian stocks. The results show that certain price levels tend to act as psychological barriers, and that price exhaustion signals are a real phenomenon in the Australian stock market. It is shown also that confluence exists in the Australian stock market. Importantly, confluence is associated with price retracements that are of economic and statistical significance, offering profitable trading opportunities. The results suggest that Australian stocks do not follow a random walk.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal The European Journal of Finance.
Volume (Year): 11 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
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Other versions of this item:
- Hristos Doucouliagos, 2003. "Price Exhaustion and Number Preference: Time and Price Confluence in Australian Stock Prices," Economics Series 2003_06, Deakin University, Faculty of Business and Law, School of Accounting, Economics and Finance.
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