This study tests the popular claim that the DJIA's movements around key reference points affect and thus price behavior. It is found that the DJIA's rise and fall is indeed restrained by and levels at multiples of 100 (e.g., 2800, 2900, 3000, etc.) but that, having broken through a 100-level, the DJIA then moves by more than otherwise warranted. A Monte Carlo study and comparisons with other indices confirm the significance of these findings. This suggests that some agents may trade on the basis of the DJIA but does not necessarily suggest that the market is inefficient.
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Volume (Year): 28 (1993) Issue (Month): 03 (September) Pages: 313-330 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
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