IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rsr/supplm/v65y2017i6p40-50.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

General Aspects of Risk and Uncertainty in Making Financial – Economic Decisions

Author

Listed:
  • Aurelian DIACONU

    („Artifex”University of Bucharest)

  • Doina AVRAM

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies)

Abstract

The risk reflects the chance of an unfavorable event with negative consequences for the decision maker. It is influenced by events or phenomena that affect the affairs of commercial companies, the expression of the failure to achieve the intended gain or the loss in economic transactions. When making the financial-economic decision, the decision-maker must take into account the risk of occurrence of events that may have adverse effects on its objectives. In general, the risk is avoided or if it is not possible to try to minimize it or transfer it. This article presents the concept of risk and uncertainty in making financial and economic decisions in the company’s activity, the distinction between the two and the consequences that may arise.

Suggested Citation

  • Aurelian DIACONU & Doina AVRAM, 2017. "General Aspects of Risk and Uncertainty in Making Financial – Economic Decisions," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(6), pages 40-50, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:65:y:2017:i:6:p:40-50
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.revistadestatistica.ro/supliment/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/RRSS_06_2017_A02_EN.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Madalina Anghel & Aurel Diaconu & Marius Popovici, 2016. "Theoretical considerations regarding risk analysis models," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(9), pages 64-72, September.
    2. Lars Peter Hansen & John C. Heaton & Nan Li, 2008. "Consumption Strikes Back? Measuring Long-Run Risk," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 116(2), pages 260-302, April.
    3. Pástor, Ľuboš & Veronesi, Pietro, 2013. "Political uncertainty and risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 520-545.
    4. Nick Bloom & Stephen Bond & John Van Reenen, 2007. "Uncertainty and Investment Dynamics," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 74(2), pages 391-415.
    5. Savor, Pavel & Wilson, Mungo, 2013. "How Much Do Investors Care About Macroeconomic Risk? Evidence from Scheduled Economic Announcements," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 343-375, April.
    6. Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Xing, Yuhang, 2009. "Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 59-82, January.
    7. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Gabriela Victoria ANGHELACHE & Madalina – Gabriela Anghel & Georgiana NITA, 2016. "General Notions on Banking Risks," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(5), pages 7-10, May.
    8. Tomasz Strzalecki, 2013. "Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty and Recursive Models of Ambiguity Aversion," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1039-1074, May.
    9. Hengjie Ai, 2010. "Information Quality and Long‐Run Risk: Asset Pricing Implications," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 65(4), pages 1333-1367, August.
    10. Constantin Anghelache & Bodo Gyorgy & Andreea Ioana Marinescu, 2017. "Asymmetric information in case of decision under risk," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(1), pages 22-36, January.
    11. Riccardo Colacito & Mariano M. Croce, 2011. "Risks for the Long Run and the Real Exchange Rate," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 153-181.
    12. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Alexandru MANOLE & Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL & Diana Valentina SOARE, 2016. "Statistical-econometric model used to analyze the operational and insolvency risks," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 221-228, Autumn.
    13. Bolton, Patrick & Chen, Hui & Wang, Neng, 2013. "Market timing, investment, and risk management," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 40-62.
    14. Botond Koszegi & Matthew Rabin, 2007. "Reference-Dependent Risk Attitudes," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(4), pages 1047-1073, September.
    15. Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL & Daniel DUMITRESCU, 2016. "Model for analyzing the liquidity risk," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(6), pages 68-70, june.
    16. James Cox & Vjollca Sadiraj & Bodo Vogt & Utteeyo Dasgupta, 2013. "Is there a plausible theory for decision under risk? A dual calibration critique," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 54(2), pages 305-333, October.
    17. repec:agr:journl:v:9(598):y:2014:i:9(598):p:7-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Rampini, Adriano A. & Sufi, Amir & Viswanathan, S., 2014. "Dynamic risk management," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 271-296.
    19. Gabriela Victoria ANGHELACHE & Constantin ANGHELACHE, 2014. "Diversifying the risk through portfolio investment," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(9(598)), pages 7-22, September.
    20. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Alexandru MANOLE & Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL & Diana Valentina SOARE, 2016. "Statistical-econometric model used to analyze the operational and insolvency risks," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 221-228, Autumn.
    21. Michael Woodford, 2012. "Prospect Theory as Efficient Perceptual Distortion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 41-46, May.
    22. Constantin Anghelache & Bodo Gyorgy, 2016. "Theoretical aspects regarding systemic risk and managerial decisions during the crisis," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(12), pages 110-116, December.
    23. Jan Werner, 2009. "Risk and risk aversion when states of nature matter," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 41(2), pages 231-246, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hengjie Ai & Ravi Bansal, 2016. "Risk Preferences and The Macro Announcement Premium," NBER Working Papers 22527, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Madalina Anghel & Aurel Diaconu & Marius Popovici, 2016. "Theoretical considerations regarding risk analysis models," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 64(9), pages 64-72, September.
    3. Aurelian DIACONU & Alexandru BADIU & Doina AVRAM & Doina BUREA & Marius POPOVICI, 2017. "Operational Risk Management," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(5), pages 221-229, May.
    4. Bansal, Ravi & Kiku, Dana & Yaron, Amir, 2016. "Risks for the long run: Estimation with time aggregation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 52-69.
    5. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2020. "What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    6. Larry G. Epstein & Emmanuel Farhi & Tomasz Strzalecki, 2014. "How Much Would You Pay to Resolve Long-Run Risk?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(9), pages 2680-2697, September.
    7. Fengxiu Zhou & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2023. "Political uncertainty and innovation of export enterprises: international evidence for developing countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4371-4400, December.
    8. Yu Chen & Thomas Cosimano & Alex Himonas & Peter Kelly, 2014. "An Analytic Approach for Stochastic Differential Utility for Endowment and Production Economies," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 44(4), pages 397-443, December.
    9. You, Wanhai & Guo, Yawei & Zhu, Huiming & Tang, Yong, 2017. "Oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and industry stock returns in China: Asymmetric effects with quantile regression," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-18.
    10. Pierpaolo Benigno & Salvatore Nisticò, 2012. "International Portfolio Allocation under Model Uncertainty," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 144-189, January.
    11. Xin Su & Shengshi Zhou & Rui Xue & Jinfang Tian, 2020. "Does economic policy uncertainty raise corporate precautionary cash holdings? Evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(5), pages 4567-4592, December.
    12. Li, Lei & Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "Exogenous shocks and the spillover effects between uncertainty and oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 224-234.
    13. Liyan Han & Mengchao Qi & Libo Yin, 2016. "Macroeconomic policy uncertainty shocks on the Chinese economy: a GVAR analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(51), pages 4907-4921, November.
    14. Yin, Libo & Feng, Jiabao & Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "It's not that important: The negligible effect of oil market uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 62-84.
    15. Constantin ANGHELACHE & Marius POPOVICI, 2017. "Financial market analysis models," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(6), pages 174-183, June.
    16. Ravi Bansal & Hengjie Ai, 2016. "Macro Announcement Premium and Risk Preferences," 2016 Meeting Papers 715, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Stefano d¡¦Addona, 2018. "Rational Ignorance in Long-run Risk Models," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 17(1), pages 43-54, June.
    18. Chan, Yue-Cheong & Saffar, Walid & Wei, K.C. John, 2021. "How economic policy uncertainty affects the cost of raising equity capital: Evidence from seasoned equity offerings," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    19. Li, Xiao-Ming, 2017. "New evidence on economic policy uncertainty and equity premium," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA), pages 41-56.
    20. Juan M. Londono & Mehrdad Samadi, 2023. "The Price of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Daily Options," International Finance Discussion Papers 1376, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial – economic decisions; decision maker; risk; uncertainty; decision tree;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:65:y:2017:i:6:p:40-50. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Adrian Visoiu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/stagvro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.