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The Current Account Deficit Sustainability: An Empirical Investigation for Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Tahir Mukhtar

    (Associate Professor at the Department of Economics, Fatima Jinnah Women University, Rawalpindi)

  • Aliya H. Khan

    (Professor and Dean of Social Sciences, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad)

Abstract

The existence of large and persistent current account deficit is always viewed with great concerns, as it usually leads an economy to a state of insolvency due to building up excessive net foreign debt. As the current account deficit is a persistent feature of Pakistan’s economy, therefore, it becomes essential to empirically investigate, whether this deficit is sustainable or not. To this end, the present study has applied two alternative approaches, namely, the intertemporal approach to the current account and the intertemporal solvency approach, in order to get more convincing evidence on the sustainability issue in Pakistan using the time series data over the period 1960 to 2012. From the perspective of both the approaches, Pakistan’s current account deficit is on a sustainable path and the macroeconomic policies of the country remained effective in securing it from any external sector crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Tahir Mukhtar & Aliya H. Khan, 2016. "The Current Account Deficit Sustainability: An Empirical Investigation for Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 397-419.
  • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:55:y:2016:i:4:p:397-419
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2016/Volume4/397-419.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Current Account Deficit; Intertemporal Budget Constraint; VAR Model; Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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