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The Relationship between Export and Growth: Panel Data Evidence from Turkish Sectors

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  • Alper Aslan

    (Department of Economics, Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University, Nevsehir 50300, Turkey)

  • Ebru Topcu

    (Department of Economics, Nevsehir Haci Bektas Veli University, Nevsehir 50300, Turkey)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine the impact of sectoral exports on economic growth in Turkey over the period 2000–2015. To this end, empirical models are estimated using panel data techniques in which quarterly data are gathered for eight sectors. Findings in the case of the pooled panel indicate the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis. Disaggregated evidences, on the other hand, reveal the validity of export-led growth hypothesis in the case of (i) agriculture and forestry; (ii) fishing; (iii) mining and quarrying; (iv) manufacturing; (v) electricity, gas and water supply; and (vi) wholesale and retail trade while it is found to be invalid in the case of (i) real estate, renting and business activities; and (ii) other community, social and personal service activities. The sectors that have the highest growth contributions are listed as follows: (i) agriculture and forestry; (ii) mining and quarrying; and (iii) manufacturing. Causality results also provide a strong support in favor of an export-led growth hypothesis for four sectors in addition to the feedback hypothesis which is valid for three sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Alper Aslan & Ebru Topcu, 2018. "The Relationship between Export and Growth: Panel Data Evidence from Turkish Sectors," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-15, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:6:y:2018:i:2:p:22-:d:139116
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    5. Klimis Vogiatzoglou, 2019. "Export Composition and Long-run Economic Growth Impact: A Cointegration Analysis for ASEAN ‘Latecomer’ Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 13(2), pages 168-191, May.
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    8. ONOSE, Okpeku Lilian & Aras, Osman Nuri, 2021. "Does the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Hold for Services Exports in Emerging Economies?," MPRA Paper 108350, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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