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Export-led growth hypothesis: cointegration and causality analysis for Taiwan

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  • Bagala Biswal
  • Urvashi Dhawan
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    Abstract

    The hypothesis of export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis is tested for Taiwan using Engle and Granger's (1987) cointegration and error correction model approaches. This study shows that total exports and GDP, as well as exports of manufactured goods and GDP are cointegrated during the post-reform period, 1960-90. This study also finds evidence of bidirectional causality, and thus concludes that, in the case of Taiwan, exports and growth mutually reinforce each other.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

    Volume (Year): 5 (1998)
    Issue (Month): 11 ()
    Pages: 699-701

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    Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:5:y:1998:i:11:p:699-701

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    Cited by:
    1. Sumie Sato & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2007. "The End of Import-Led Growth? North Korean Evidence," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 07-38, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP).
    2. repec:ltr:wpaper:2007.02 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Harrison, Ann & Rodríguez-Clare, Andrés, 2010. "Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries," Handbook of Development Economics, Elsevier.
    4. Aamer Abu-Qarn & Suleiman Abu-Bader, 2001. "The Validity of the ELG Hypothesis in the MENA Region: Cointegration and Error Correction Model Analysis," Working Papers 134, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    5. Saten Kumar, 2011. "Estimating export demand equations in selected Asian countriess," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 5-16, February.
    6. Sato, Sumie & Fukushige, Mototsugu, 2011. "The North Korean economy: Escape from import-led growth," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 76-83, February.
    7. László Kónya & Jai Pal Singh, 2007. "Causality between Indian Exports, Imports, and Agricultural, Manufacturing GDP," Working Papers 2007.02, School of Economics, La Trobe University.

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