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Exportaciones y crecimiento económico: Un análisis de causalidad para México

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Author Info
Ana María Cuadros Ramos (Universidad Jaume I de Castellón)
Abstract

We analyze the Granger causal relationship between openness and economic growth in Mexico. The results obtained indicate the absence of a causal relationship among different categories of exports and growth, for the period 1983-1997. Nevertheless, it has been identified a significant positive causal relationship between the growth of imports, both in total and intermediate goods and the growth of output. Thus, the outcomes of this study suggest that even though the trade liberalization process has influenced positively economic growth, it has not only been through the theoretical gains associated to the export sector expansion. The positive effects have gone beyond that. They have been generated by both, favourable economic conditions related to the openness process and growth of exports which has provided the necessary foreign exchange earnings to finance the imports of intermediate goods.

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File URL: http://revistas.colmex.mx/revistas/12/art_12_305_1066.pdf
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Article provided by El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos in its journal Estudios Económicos.

Volume (Year): 15 (2000)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 37-64
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Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:15:y:2000:i:1:p:37-64

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Web page: http://www.colmex.mx/centros/cee/
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  3. Feder, Gershon, 1983. "On exports and economic growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1-2), pages 59-73. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Balassa, Bela, 1978. "Exports and economic growth : Further evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 181-189, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Edwards, Sebastian, 1993. "Openness, Trade Liberalization, and Growth in Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1358-93, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Esfahani, Hadi Salehi, 1991. "Exports, imports, and economic growth in semi-industrialized countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 93-116, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Sofronis Clerides & Saul Lach & James Tybout, 1996. "Is "Learning-by-Exporting" Important? Micro-Dynamic Evidence from Colombia, Mexico and Morocco," NBER Working Papers 5715, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Dean, J.M. & Desai, S. & Riedel, J., 1994. "Trade Policy Reform in Developing Countries since 1985," World Bank - Discussion Papers 267, World Bank.
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  19. Edwards, Sebastian, 1992. "Trade orientation, distortions and growth in developing countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 31-57, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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