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The Empirics of Trade and Growth : Where are the Policy Recommendations ? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Klaus, WAELDE () (European Commission-Brussels and University of Dresden-Germany and CESifo and IRES-Université Catholique de Louvain)
Christina, WOOD (The World Bank, PREM, West Africa Group, Washington)
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Existing literature repeatedly documented a strong correlation between trade and growth. It has also shown a causal effect of imports (though not necessarily exports) on growth in simultaneous equation models but to a lesser extent in Granger-causality tests. Export and import taxes have sometimes been found to negatively affect growth. Drawing policy conclusions from these general findings for a particular country is difficult not only because of the contradictory results but also because of potential second best world effects and the implied endogeneity of trade policy. Policy recommendations for a specific country require a careful analysis of market and institutional arrangements and can not be based on the existing cross-country literature.
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Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) in its series Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper with number
2004013.
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Date of creation: 15 Mar 2004Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvir:2004013Contact details of provider: Postal: Place Montesquieu 3, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve (Belgium) Fax: +32 10473945 Email: Web page: http://www.uclouvain.be/econ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Theoretical and Empirical Trade and Growth Studies Policy Recommendations Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations O1 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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