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The Empirics of Trade and Growth : Where are the Policy Recommendations ?

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Author Info
Klaus, WAELDE () (European Commission-Brussels and University of Dresden-Germany and CESifo and IRES-Université Catholique de Louvain)
Christina, WOOD (The World Bank, PREM, West Africa Group, Washington)

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Abstract

Existing literature repeatedly documented a strong correlation between trade and growth. It has also shown a causal effect of imports (though not necessarily exports) on growth in simultaneous equation models but to a lesser extent in Granger-causality tests. Export and import taxes have sometimes been found to negatively affect growth. Drawing policy conclusions from these general findings for a particular country is difficult not only because of the contradictory results but also because of potential second best world effects and the implied endogeneity of trade policy. Policy recommendations for a specific country require a careful analysis of market and institutional arrangements and can not be based on the existing cross-country literature.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) in its series Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper with number 2004013.

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Length: 20
Date of creation: 15 Mar 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvir:2004013

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Keywords: Theoretical and Empirical Trade and Growth Studies Policy Recommendations

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
O1 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Guisan, M.C. & Exposito, P., 2006. "Production by sector in China, India and OECD Countries, 1985-2005," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2). [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Guisan, M.C. & Exposito, P., 2005. "Industry and Foreign Trade in India, China and OECD countries: an analysis of causality, 1960-2002," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(3), pages 5-16. [Downloadable!]
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