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Trade and growth in East Asian countries: cause and effect?

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Author Info
Jeffrey A. Frankel
David Romer
Teresa Cyrus

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Abstract

Estimates of growth equations have found a role for openness, particularly in explaining rapid growth among East Asian countries. But major concerns of simultaneous causality between growth and trade have been expressed. This study aims to deal with the endogeneity of trade by using as instrumental variables the exogenous determinants from the gravity model of bilateral trade, such as proximity to trading partners. Our preliminary finding is that the effect of openness on growth is even clearer when we correct for the endogeneity of openness than in standard OLS estimates. We conclude with estimates of how much has been contributed to East Asian growth by openness (both the exogenous or geographical component of openness and the residual or policy component).

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its series Pacific Basin Working Paper Series with number 95-03.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Publication status: Published in NBER Working Paper : 5732
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfpb:95-03

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Keywords: East Asia Economic development International trade Gross domestic product

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Tran Van Hoa, 2004. "Australia-Thailand Free Trade Agreement: Challenges and Opportunities for Bilateral Trade Policy and Closer Economic Relations," Economics Working Papers wp04-12, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
  2. WenShwo Fang & YiHao Lai & Stephen M. Miller, 2005. "Does Exchange Rate Risk Affect Exports Asymmetrically? Asian Evidence," Working papers 2005-09, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Goh, Ai-Ting & Olivier, Jacques, 2001. "Learning by Doing, Trade in Capital Goods and Growth," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2001002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
  4. Klaus, WAELDE & Christina, WOOD, 2004. "The Empirics of Trade and Growth : Where are the Policy Recommendations ?," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2004013, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. David-Pascal Dion, 2004. "Regional integration and economic development: An empirical approach," Discussion Papers 21, SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
  6. Diaz-Bautista, Alejandro, 2002. "The role of telecommunications infrastructure and human capital: Mexico´s economic growth and convergence," ERSA conference papers ersa02p102, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  7. Kala Krishna & Ataman Ozyildirim & Norman R. Swanson, 1998. "Trade, Investment, and Growth: Nexus, Analysis, and Prognosis," NBER Working Papers 6861, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Chan-Hyun Sohn & Jinna Yoon, 2001. "Does the Gravity Model Fit Korea’s Trade Patterns? Implications for Korea’s FTA Policy and North-South Korean Trade," Trade Working Papers 362, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  9. Matthias Cinyabuguma & Louis Putterman, 2006. "Sub-Saharan Growth Surprises: Geography, Institutions And History in an all African Data Panel," Working Papers 2006-21, Brown University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Pedro Cavalcanti Gomes Ferreira & José Luiz Rossi Júnior, 1999. "Trade Barriers and Productivity Growth: Cross-Industry Evidence," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 343, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  11. Hildegunn Ekroll Stokke & Jørn Rattsø & Xinshen Diao, 2001. "Learning by Exporting and Productivity-investment Interaction: An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis of the Growth Process in Thailand," Working Paper Series 2302, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. BOUCEKKINE, Raouf & RUIZ-TAMARIT Ramon, 2001. "Capital Maintenance and Investment : Complements or Substitutes ?," Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Discussion Paper 2001012, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
  13. Robert Z. Lawrence & David E. Weinstein, 1999. "Trade and Growth: Import-Led or Export-Led? Evidence From Japan and Korea," NBER Working Papers 7264, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Sweta C. Saxena, 2005. "Are Optimal Currency Areas Optimal for All? A Reassessment of the Case for Asian Monetary Union," International Finance 0508003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  15. Anita Labériotte, 2002. "La viabilité de l'Association des Nations d'Asie du Sud-Est au regard de l'analyse des échanges intra-zone," Documents de travail 68, Centre d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV. [Downloadable!]
  16. Óscar Afonso, 2001. "The Impact of International Trade on Economic Growth," FEP Working Papers 106, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
  17. Ai Ting Goh & Jacques Olivier, 2000. "Learning by Doing, Trade in Capital Goods and Growth," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0854, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  18. William Easterly & Ross Levine, 2002. "Tropics, Germs, and Crops: How Endowments Influence Economic Development," NBER Working Papers 9106, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  19. Tran Van Hoa, 2003. "New Asian Regionalism: Evidence of ASEAN+3 Free Trade Agreement From Extended Gravity Theory and New Modelling Approach," Economics Working Papers wp03-03, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia. [Downloadable!]
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