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El efecto del gasto público sobre las posibilidades de reelección de los gobiernos locales

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  • Balaguer-Coll, María Teresa
  • Brun-Martos, María Isabel

Abstract

Este artículo analiza el efecto del gasto público municipal sobre la probabilidad de reelección de los gobiernos locales españoles durante el período 2000–2007, utilizando la metodología logit para datos de panel. Los resultados obtenidos indican que, en general, aumentos en el gasto público municipal repercuten de forma positiva sobre las posibilidades de reelección de los gobiernos locales y, fundamentalmente, cuando este aumento se realiza en el período preelectoral. Asimismo, se aprecia que existen otras variables que afectan de forma positiva sobre las probabilidades de reelección, como son el volumen de ingresos por transferencias, que sean partidos de derechas, o el hecho de que un municipio haya obtenido mayoría absoluta en las elecciones previas. Por el contrario, el número de años que un alcalde lleva en el cargo presenta un impacto negativo sobre las probabilidades de reelección.

Suggested Citation

  • Balaguer-Coll, María Teresa & Brun-Martos, María Isabel, 2013. "El efecto del gasto público sobre las posibilidades de reelección de los gobiernos locales," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 74-80.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spacre:v:16:y:2013:i:1:p:74-80
    DOI: 10.1016/S1138-4891(13)70008-6
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    3. Cristian Guzmán Cofré & Fabián Luengo Fernández & Paula Rojas Espinoza, 2017. "Ciclo Político Presupuestario en Chile: Un estudio exploratorio para las elecciones de alcalde 2012," Revista Actualidad Económica, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto de Economía y Finanzas, vol. 27(93), pages 15-24, Sept-Dic.
    4. Maria Teresa Balaguer-Coll & Mariya Ivanova-Toneva, 2019. "The impact women's leadership in local Governments: The case of Spain," Working Papers 2019/05, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
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