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Sovereign default risk linkage: Implication for portfolio diversification

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  • Hassan, Kamrul
  • Hoque, Ariful
  • Gasbarro, Dominic

Abstract

Dynamic conditional correlation, principal components analysis, and impulse response function analysis are employed to examine the interdependence of sovereign credit default swaps (SCDS) in the different emerging market regions of Asia, Europe and Latin America. Using these measures, Asian emerging markets show strong linkage among themselves, both during and after the financial crisis, but less responsive to shocks in European and Latin American regions. Emerging markets in Europe and Latin America have weaker regional bonds than Asian markets. Accordingly, knowledge of the varying correlations, commonality and persistence of shocks existing in intra- and inter-regional markets provides insight for superior portfolio diversification with SCDS.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassan, Kamrul & Hoque, Ariful & Gasbarro, Dominic, 2017. "Sovereign default risk linkage: Implication for portfolio diversification," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-16.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:41:y:2017:i:c:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.11.002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic conditional correlation; Impulse response function; Sovereign credit default swaps;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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