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The irreversibility premium

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Author Info
Chirinko, Robert S.
Schaller, Huntley

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Abstract

When investment is irreversible, theory suggests that firms will be "reluctant to invest." This reluctance creates a wedge between the discount rate guiding investment decisions and the standard Jorgensonian user cost (adjusted for risk). We use the intertemporal tradeoff between benefits and costs of changing the capital stock to estimate this wedge, which we label the irreversibility premium. Estimates are based on panel data for the period 1980-2001. The large dataset allows us to estimate the effects of limited resale markets, low depreciation rates, high uncertainty, and negative industry-wide shocks on the irreversibility premium. Our estimates provide a readily interpretable measure of the importance of irreversibility and document that the irreversibility premium is both economically and statistically significant.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VBW-4VPD6T9-1/2/906a8d72ac1b8ea61fe37197e24ffd3d
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Monetary Economics.

Volume (Year): 56 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 (April)
Pages: 390-408
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Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:56:y:2009:i:3:p:390-408

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505566

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Related research
Keywords: Irreversibility Investment Non-convex adjustment costs;

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  1. Ulf von Kalckreuth, 2003. "Exploring the role of uncertainty for corporate investment decisions in Germany," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 139(II), pages 173-206, June. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Robert S. Chirinko & Debdulal Mallick, 2008. "The Marginal Product of Capital: A Persistent International Puzzle," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-30.


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