IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jomega/v36y2008i1p22-32.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Doing something about the weather

Author

Listed:
  • Regnier, Eva

Abstract

Recent developments in weather forecasting have created the potential for the operations research and management science (OR/MS) community to have a tremendous impact in distilling weather information into valuable decision tools. Weather-sensitive applications include transport, electric utilities, agriculture, and public emergency management. This article surveys existing research and practice using OR/MS tools to integrate weather forecasts in decision-making. Because the conditions that created the potential for OR/MS contributions--in particular an explosion in the amount of relevant forecast data--are quite recent, the amount of existing OR/MS work is modest. This article also describes promising but unexplored research opportunities for the OR/MS community.

Suggested Citation

  • Regnier, Eva, 2008. "Doing something about the weather," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 22-32, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:36:y:2008:i:1:p:22-32
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305-0483(05)00180-5
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mjelde, James W. & Dixon, Bruce L., 1993. "Valuing the lead time of periodic forecasts in dynamic production systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 41-55.
    2. de Menezes, Lilian M. & W. Bunn, Derek & Taylor, James W., 2000. "Review of guidelines for the use of combined forecasts," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 190-204, January.
    3. Kleindorfer, Paul R. & Wu, D. -J. & Fernando, Chitru S., 2001. "Strategic gaming in electric power markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 156-168, April.
    4. James W. Mjelde & Steven T. Sonka & Bruce L. Dixon & Peter J. Lamb, 1988. "Valuing Forecast Characteristics in a Dynamic Agricultural Production System," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(3), pages 674-684.
    5. J. P. Hughes & P Guttorp & S. P. Charles, 1999. "A non‐homogeneous hidden Markov model for precipitation occurrence," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 48(1), pages 15-30.
    6. Hanif D. Sherali & J. Cole Smith & Antonio A. Trani, 2002. "An Airspace Planning Model for Selecting Flight-plans Under Workload, Safety, and Equity Considerations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(4), pages 378-397, November.
    7. Abramson, Bruce & Brown, John & Edwards, Ward & Murphy, Allan & Winkler, Robert L., 1996. "Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 57-71, March.
    8. Roger A. Pielke, 2001. "Room for doubt," Nature, Nature, vol. 410(6825), pages 151-151, March.
    9. Dimitris Bertsimas & Sarah Stock Patterson, 2000. "The Traffic Flow Management Rerouting Problem in Air Traffic Control: A Dynamic Network Flow Approach," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 34(3), pages 239-255, August.
    10. James W. Mjelde & Harvey S.J. Hill & John F. Griffiths, 1998. "A Review of Current Evidence on Climate Forecasts and Their Economic Effects in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(5), pages 1089-1095.
    11. Richard M. Adams & Kelly J. Bryant & Bruce A. Mccarl & David M. Legler & James O'Brien & Andrew Solow & Rodney Weiher, 1995. "Value Of Improved Long‐Range Weather Information," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 13(3), pages 10-19, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Crowther, Kenneth G., 2010. "Risk-informed assessment of regional preparedness: A case study of emergency potable water for hurricane response in Southeast Virginia," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 83-98.
    2. Taylor, James W. & Snyder, Ralph D., 2012. "Forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles using parsimonious seasonal exponential smoothing," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 748-757.
    3. Jian Ni & Lap Keung Chu & Shoude Li, 2018. "Financial hedging and competitive strategy for value-maximizing firms under quantity competition," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 264(1), pages 391-407, May.
    4. Chen, Shin-Guang, 2013. "Bayesian approach for optimal PV system sizing under climate change," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 176-185.
    5. McLay, Laura A. & Boone, Edward L. & Brooks, J. Paul, 2012. "Analyzing the volume and nature of emergency medical calls during severe weather events using regression methodologies," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 55-66.
    6. Arora, Siddharth & Taylor, James W., 2016. "Forecasting electricity smart meter data using conditional kernel density estimation," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA), pages 47-59.
    7. Roopesh Ranjan & Tilmann Gneiting, 2010. "Combining probability forecasts," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 72(1), pages 71-91, January.
    8. Liu, Qingyu & Shen, Bin & Wen, Xin, 2023. "Role of climate-smart agriculture in fighting against climate change in competitive supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    9. Souffriau, Wouter & Vansteenwegen, Pieter & Vanden Berghe, Greet & Van Oudheusden, Dirk, 2011. "The planning of cycle trips in the province of East Flanders," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 209-213, April.
    10. Hongyong Fu & Bin Dan & Xiangkai Sun, 2014. "Joint Optimal Pricing and Ordering Decisions for Seasonal Products with Weather-Sensitive Demand," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-8, March.
    11. N. Marshall & I. Gordon & A. Ash, 2011. "The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(3), pages 511-529, August.
    12. Vafadarnikjoo, Amin & Chalvatzis, Konstantinos & Botelho, Tiago & Bamford, David, 2023. "A stratified decision-making model for long-term planning: Application in flood risk management in Scotland," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    13. Cao, Qing & Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2012. "Forecasting wind speed with recurrent neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 148-154.
    14. Qing (Ray) Cao & Andrew N. K. Chen & Bradley T. Ewing & Mark A. Thompson, 2021. "Evaluating Information System Success and Impact on Sustainability Practices: A Survey and a Case Study of Regional Mesonet Information Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-23, June.
    15. Eva Regnier, 2008. "Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 16-28, January.
    16. Tilmann Gneiting & Larissa Stanberry & Eric Grimit & Leonhard Held & Nicholas Johnson, 2008. "Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 17(2), pages 256-264, August.
    17. Frank Youhua Chen & Candace Arai Yano, 2010. "Improving Supply Chain Performance and Managing Risk Under Weather-Related Demand Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(8), pages 1380-1397, August.
    18. Kerkhove, L.-P. & Vanhoucke, M., 2017. "Optimised scheduling for weather sensitive offshore construction projects," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 66(PA), pages 58-78.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kusunose, Yoko & Mahmood, Rezaul, 2016. "Imperfect forecasts and decision making in agriculture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 103-110.
    2. Mjelde, J. W. & Hill, H. S. J., 1999. "The effect of the use of improved climate forecasts on variable costs, input usage, and production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 213-225, June.
    3. Lehouillier, Thibault & Omer, Jérémy & Soumis, François & Desaulniers, Guy, 2017. "Two decomposition algorithms for solving a minimum weight maximum clique model for the air conflict resolution problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(3), pages 696-712.
    4. Graham R. Marshall & Kevin A. Parton & G.L. Hammer, 1996. "Risk Attitude, Planting Conditions And The Value Of Seasonal Forecasts To A Dryland Wheat Grower," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 40(3), pages 211-233, December.
    5. Carter, Chris & Crean, Jason & Kingwell, Ross S. & Hertzler, Greg, 2006. "Managing and Sharing the Risks of Drought in Australia," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25319, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Louis Eeckhoudt & Alban Thomas & Nicolas Treich, 2011. "Correlated risks and the value of information," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 102(1), pages 77-87, January.
    7. Lybbert, Travis J. & Magnan, Nicholas & Gubler, W. Douglas, 2012. "Multi-Dimensional Responses to Risk Information: How do Winegrape Growers Respond to Disease Forecasts and to What Environmental Effect?," Working Papers 162521, Robert Mondavi Institute Center for Wine Economics.
    8. Zhe Liang & Wanpracha Art Chaovalitwongse & Elsayed A. Elsayed, 2014. "Sequence Assignment Model for the Flight Conflict Resolution Problem," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(3), pages 334-350, August.
    9. Hammer, G. L. & Hansen, J. W. & Phillips, J. G. & Mjelde, J. W. & Hill, H. & Love, A. & Potgieter, A., 2001. "Advances in application of climate prediction in agriculture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 70(2-3), pages 515-553.
    10. Petersen, E. H. & Fraser, R. W., 2001. "An assessment of the value of seasonal forecasting technology for Western Australian farmers," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 259-274, October.
    11. Hansen, James W., 2002. "Realizing the potential benefits of climate prediction to agriculture: issues, approaches, challenges," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 309-330, December.
    12. Kelly, David L. & Kolstad, Charles D. & Mitchell, Glenn T., 2005. "Adjustment costs from environmental change," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 468-495, November.
    13. Dal Sasso, Veronica & Djeumou Fomeni, Franklin & Lulli, Guglielmo & Zografos, Konstantinos G., 2018. "Incorporating Stakeholders’ priorities and preferences in 4D trajectory optimization," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 594-609.
    14. Ariaster Baumgratz Chimeli & Francisco de Assis de Souza Filho, 2004. "Climate Forecasting And Emergency Policies Evidence Of Opportunities From Ceará, Brazil," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 118, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    15. Bert, Federico E. & Satorre, Emilio H. & Toranzo, Fernando Ruiz & Podesta, Guillermo P., 2006. "Climatic information and decision-making in maize crop production systems of the Argentinean Pampas," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 88(2-3), pages 180-204, June.
    16. Thomas W. M. Vossen & Michael O. Ball, 2006. "Slot Trading Opportunities in Collaborative Ground Delay Programs," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(1), pages 29-43, February.
    17. Marie Bessec & Julien Fouquau & Sophie Meritet, 2016. "Forecasting electricity spot prices using time-series models with a double temporal segmentation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(5), pages 361-378, January.
    18. Hanif D. Sherali & J. Cole Smith & Antonio A. Trani, 2002. "An Airspace Planning Model for Selecting Flight-plans Under Workload, Safety, and Equity Considerations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(4), pages 378-397, November.
    19. Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha, 2018. "Collaborative air traffic flow management: Incorporating airline preferences in rerouting decisions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 97-107.
    20. Dixit, Aasheesh & Jakhar, Suresh Kumar, 2021. "Airport capacity management: A review and bibliometric analysis," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:36:y:2008:i:1:p:22-32. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/375/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.