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Analyzing the volume and nature of emergency medical calls during severe weather events using regression methodologies

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  • McLay, Laura A.
  • Boone, Edward L.
  • Brooks, J. Paul
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    Abstract

    An effective emergency medical service (EMS) response to emergency medical calls during extreme weather events is a critical public service. Nearly all models for allocating EMS resources focus on normal operating conditions. However, public health risks become even more critical during extreme weather events, and hence, EMS systems must consider additional needs that arise during weather events to effectively respond to and treat patients. This paper seeks to characterize how the volume and nature of EMS calls are affected during extreme weather events with a particular focus on emergency preparedness. In contrast to other studies on disaster relief, where the focus is on delivery of temporary commodities, we focus on the delivery of routine emergency services during blizzards and hurricane evacuations. The dependence of emergency service quality on weather conditions is explored through a case study using real-world data from Hanover County, Virginia. The results suggest that whether it is snowing is significant in nearly all of the regression models. Variables associated with increased highway congestion, which become important during hurricane evacuations, are positively correlated with an increased call volume and the likelihood of high-risk calls. The analysis can aid public safety leaders in preparing for extreme weather events.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Socio-Economic Planning Sciences.

    Volume (Year): 46 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 55-66

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:soceps:v:46:y:2012:i:1:p:55-66

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/seps

    Related research

    Keywords: Emergency medical services; Disaster preparedness; Weather disasters; Zero-inflated Poisson regression; Multiple linear regression; Logistic regression;

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    11. Nabil Channouf & Pierre L’Ecuyer & Armann Ingolfsson & Athanassios Avramidis, 2007. "The application of forecasting techniques to modeling emergency medical system calls in Calgary, Alberta," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 25-45, February.
    12. Eva Regnier, 2008. "Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(1), pages 16-28, January.
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