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Measurement of common risks in tails: A panel quantile regression model for financial returns

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  • Baruník, Jozef
  • Čech, František

Abstract

We investigate how to measure common risks in the tails of return distributions using the recently proposed panel quantile regression model for financial returns. By exploring how volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using a fixed effects estimator, we can control for otherwise unobserved heterogeneity among financial assets. Direct benefits are revealed in a portfolio value-at-risk application, where our modeling strategy performs significantly better than several benchmark models. In particular, our results show that the panel quantile regression model for returns consistently outperforms all competitors in the left tail. Sound statistical performance translates directly into economic gains.

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  • Baruník, Jozef & Čech, František, 2021. "Measurement of common risks in tails: A panel quantile regression model for financial returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:52:y:2021:i:c:s1386418120300318
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2020.100562
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Panel quantile regression; Realized measures; Value-at-risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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