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Integrated assessment of agricultural policies with dynamic land use change modelling

Author

Listed:
  • van Delden, Hedwig
  • Stuczynski, Tomasz
  • Ciaian, Pavel
  • Paracchini, Maria Luisa
  • Hurkens, Jelle
  • Lopatka, Artur
  • Shi, Yu-e
  • Prieto, Oscar Gomez
  • Calvo, Silvia
  • van Vliet, Jasper
  • Vanhout, Roel

Abstract

With about half of its territory being farmed, agriculture is the main land use in the European Union (EU). As over 10% of the total EU manufacturing output comes from the agri-food sector, it also is an economic factor of great importance. Moreover, EU policy in this sector has far-reaching consequences ranging from the EU's status as a global trade partner to landscape preservation and development. The LUMOCAP Policy Support System is targeted towards policy makers in the European Commission (EC) and its Member States (MS) and aims to provide support in the field of sustainable agricultural and rural development. To this end it incorporates an integrated model with socio-economic and bio-physical processes, operating at different spatial scales. For supporting integrated assessment, a large number of policy levers is included as inputs for these models and outputs are transformed into policy-relevant social, economic and environmental indicators. The whole system is framed in a flexible, modular and easy to use software package that is useable for process experts and policy-analysts alike.

Suggested Citation

  • van Delden, Hedwig & Stuczynski, Tomasz & Ciaian, Pavel & Paracchini, Maria Luisa & Hurkens, Jelle & Lopatka, Artur & Shi, Yu-e & Prieto, Oscar Gomez & Calvo, Silvia & van Vliet, Jasper & Vanhout, Roe, 2010. "Integrated assessment of agricultural policies with dynamic land use change modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(18), pages 2153-2166.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:221:y:2010:i:18:p:2153-2166
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.03.023
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. David Briggs & Kylie Mason & Barry Borman, 2015. "Rapid Assessment of Environmental Health Impacts for Policy Support: The Example of Road Transport in New Zealand," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-23, December.
    3. Kolosz, B.W. & Athanasiadis, I.N. & Cadisch, G. & Dawson, T.P. & Giupponi, C. & Honzák, M. & Martinez-Lopez, J. & Marvuglia, A. & Mojtahed, V. & Ogutu, K.B.Z. & Van Delden, H. & Villa, F. & Balbi, S., 2018. "Conceptual advancement of socio-ecological modelling of ecosystem services for re-evaluating Brownfield land," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 33(PA), pages 29-39.
    4. María Blanco & Benjamin Van Doorslaer & Wolfgang Britz & Heinz-Peter Witzke, 2012. "Exploring the feasibility of integrating water issues into the CAPRI model," JRC Research Reports JRC77058, Joint Research Centre.
    5. van Vliet, Jasper & Bregt, Arnold K. & Hagen-Zanker, Alex, 2011. "Revisiting Kappa to account for change in the accuracy assessment of land-use change models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(8), pages 1367-1375.
    6. Jan K. Kazak, 2018. "The Use of a Decision Support System for Sustainable Urbanization and Thermal Comfort in Adaptation to Climate Change Actions—The Case of the Wrocław Larger Urban Zone (Poland)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, April.
    7. Gärtner, Dominique & Keller, Armin & Schulin, Rainer, 2013. "A simple regional downscaling approach for spatially distributing land use types for agricultural land," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 10-19.
    8. Chen, Chengjing & Liu, Yihua, 2021. "Spatiotemporal changes of ecosystem services value by incorporating planning policies: A case of the Pearl River Delta, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 461(C).
    9. Holman, I.P. & Brown, C & Janes, V & Sandars, D, 2017. "Can we be certain about future land use change in Europe? A multi-scenario, integrated-assessment analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 126-135.
    10. Yang, Xin & Zheng, Xin-Qi & Chen, Rui, 2014. "A land use change model: Integrating landscape pattern indexes and Markov-CA," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 283(C), pages 1-7.
    11. Jasper van Vliet & Jelle Hurkens & Roger White & Hedwig van Delden, 2012. "An Activity-Based Cellular Automaton Model to Simulate Land-Use Dynamics," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 39(2), pages 198-212, April.

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