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Spatial variations of Greek manufacturing employment growth: The effects of specialization and international trade

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  • Georgios Fotopoulos
  • Dimitris Kallioras
  • George Petrakos

Abstract

This research analyses the effects of international trade, relative specialization and regional industrial structure on Greek regional employment growth over the 1995–2003 period. For this purpose, it employs trade‐adjusted shift‐share analysis, along with linear model extensions. The results obtained highlight the importance of local conditions and regional deviations from business cycles and sectoral trends. Relative regional specialization has, on average, a positive effect on regional employment growth. The direction of industry‐mix effects depends on specializing on growing or declining sectors. Imports have negative employment effects; the exports’ positive effect is weak and domestic demand remains an important positive factor. Resumen Esta investigación analiza los efectos del comercio internacional, la especialización relativa y la estructura industrial regional en el crecimiento regional del empleo desde 1995 a 2003. Con este propósito, emplea análisis shift‐share ajustado por comercio, junto con extensiones de modelos lineales. Los resultados obtenidos resaltan la importancia de las condiciones locales y las desviaciones regionales de los ciclos empresariales y las tendencias sectoriales. La especialización regional relativa tiene, en promedio, un efecto positivo en el crecimiento del empleo regional. La dirección de los efectos de mezcla de industrias depende de la especialización en sectores en crecimiento o en declive. Las importaciones tienen efectos negativos en el empleo; el efecto positivo de las exportaciones es débil y la demanda doméstica es aun un factor positivo importante.

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  • Georgios Fotopoulos & Dimitris Kallioras & George Petrakos, 2010. "Spatial variations of Greek manufacturing employment growth: The effects of specialization and international trade," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(1), pages 109-133, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:89:y:2010:i:1:p:109-133
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2009.00243.x
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    2. Campoy-Muñoz, Pilar & Cardenete, Manuel Alejandro & Delgado, M. Carmen, 2015. "Strategic sectors and employment during the crisis: The case of Andalusia || Sectores estratégicos y empleo durante la crisis: el caso de Andalucía," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 20(1), pages 25-52, December.
    3. Qiang Li & Jason F. Kovacs & Geun Hee Choi, 2021. "High-technology employment growth in China: geographic disparities in economic structure and sectoral performance," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1025-1064, November.
    4. Kowalewski, Julia, 2012. "Inter-industrial relations and sectoral employment development in German regions," HWWI Research Papers 127, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    5. Claudia V. Montanía & Miguel A. Márquez & Teresa Fernández‐Núñez & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, 2024. "Toward a more comprehensive shift‐share analysis: An illustration using regional data," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), March.
    6. Valente J. Matlaba & Mark Holmes & Philip McCann & Jacques Poot, 2014. "Classic and Spatial Shift-Share Analysis of State-Level Employment Change in Brazil," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Karima Kourtit & Peter Nijkamp & Robert Stimson (ed.), Applied Regional Growth and Innovation Models, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 139-172, Springer.
    7. Pilar Campoy-Muñoz & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & M. Carmen Delgado, 2015. "Employment trends in the key sectors of the Andalusian economy," ERSA conference papers ersa15p91, European Regional Science Association.
    8. Dimitris KALLIORAS & Maria TSIAPA & Spyridon ZAPANTIS, 2016. "Spatial Variations Of Employment Change In Greece Over The Early-Crisis Period (2008-2011)," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(1), pages 61-78, June.
    9. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Alexandra Sotiriou, 2021. "Trading with richer and poorer countries: trade integration and regional inequality in Greece," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 67(3), pages 697-725, December.
    10. F. Voulgaris & G. Agiomirgianakis & T. Papadogonas, 2015. "Job creation and job destruction in economic crisis at firm level: the case of Greek manufacturing sectors," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 21-39, March.
    11. George Petrakos & Georgios Fotopoulos & Dimitris Kallioras, 2012. "Peripherality and Integration: Industrial Growth and Decline in the Greek Regions," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 30(2), pages 347-361, April.
    12. Friesenbichler, Klaus S. & Glocker, Christian, 2019. "Tradability and productivity growth differentials across EU Member States," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-13.
    13. Christofakis Manolis & Gaki Eleni & Lagos Dimitrios, 2019. "The impact of economic crisis on regional disparities and the allocation of economic branches in Greek regions," Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, Sciendo, vol. 44(44), pages 7-21, June.
    14. Raisa Țăruș & Ștefan Dezsi & Andreea M. Crăciun & Florin Pop & Claudia E. Tudorache, 2022. "Urban Shrinking Cities in Romania and The Netherlands—A Possible Policy Framing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, May.
    15. Riccardo Crescenzi & George Petrakos, 2016. "The European Union and its neighboring countries: The economic geography of trade, Foreign Direct Investment and development," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(4), pages 581-591, June.
    16. Friesenbichler, Klaus S. & Hoelzl, Werner, 2022. "Firm-growth and Functional Strategic Domains: Exploratory evidence for differences between frontier and catching-up economies," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    17. Shu‐hen Chiang, 2012. "The sources of metropolitan unemployment fluctuations in the Greater Taipei metropolitan area," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 91(4), pages 775-793, November.
    18. George PETRAKOS, 2014. "Economic Crisis In Greece. European And Domestic Market And Policy Failures," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 39, pages 9-33.
    19. Elias Giannakis & Adriana Bruggeman, 2017. "Economic crisis and regional resilience: Evidence from Greece," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 96(3), pages 451-476, August.

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