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Regional development of employment in eastern Germany: an analysis with an econometric analogue to shift-share techniques

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  • Uwe Blien

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesanstalt fü}r Arbeit , Regensburger Str. 104, D-90327 Nürnberg, Germany e-mail: {Uwe.Blien;Katja.Wolf}@iab.de))

  • Katja Wolf

    (Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesanstalt fü}r Arbeit , Regensburger Str. 104, D-90327 Nürnberg, Germany e-mail: {Uwe.Blien;Katja.Wolf}@iab.de))

Abstract

We extend in this analysis an approach introduced by Patterson and suggested by Möller and Tassinopoulos. Our approach uses a generalization of an econometric analogue of the common shift-share method, suggested here as a new "workhorse" for regional analyses. The results obtained with this shift-share-regression, and with very differentiated data from the employment statistics of eastern Germany, show that processes of deconcentration play a role in explaining regional disparities, since inverse localization and positive urbanization effects are visible. The relevant processes can be understood by implementing approaches of "new economic geography", structural change and endogenous growth theory.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Papers in Regional Science.

Volume (Year): 81 (2002)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 391-414

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Handle: RePEc:spr:presci:v:81:y:2002:i:3:p:391-414

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Related research

Keywords: Shift-share method; employment development; deconcentration; localization effects; regional growth;

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References

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  1. D C Knudsen & R Barff, 1991. "Shift - share analysis as a linear model," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 23(3), pages 421-431, March.
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Cited by:
  1. Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp & Uwe Blien, 2006. "New Neural Network Methods for Forecasting Regional Employment: an Analysis of German Labour Markets," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 7-30.
  2. Ulrich Zierahn, 2010. "The Importance of Spatial Autocorrelation for Regional Employment Growth in Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201031, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  3. Rafael Boix & Joan Trullén, 2004. "Knowledge, networks of cities and growth in regional urban systems: theory, measurement and policy implications," ERSA conference papers ersa04p85, European Regional Science Association.
  4. repec:pdn:wpaper:42 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Jens Suedekum & Uwe Blien, 2004. "Wages and Employment Growth: Disaggregated Evidence for West Germany," ERSA conference papers ersa04p641, European Regional Science Association.
  6. Valente J. Matlaba & Mark Holmes & Philip McCann & Jacques Poot, 2012. "Classic and Spatial Shift-Share Analysis of State-Level Employment Change in Brazil," Working Papers in Economics 12/08, University of Waikato, Department of Economics.
  7. Uwe Blien & Lutz Eigenhueller & Markus Promberger & Norbert Schanne, 2013. "The Shift-Share Regression: An Application to Regional Employ-ment Development," ERSA conference papers ersa13p614, European Regional Science Association.
  8. Julia Kowalewski, 2013. "Inter-industrial Relations and Sectoral Employment Development in German Regions," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics, vol. 233(4), pages 486-504, July.
  9. Kowalewski, Julia, 2012. "Inter-industrial relations and sectoral employment development in German regions," HWWI Research Papers 127, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
  10. Lourens Broersma & Jan Oosterhaven, 2005. "Regional Labour Productivity in The Netherlands - Diversification and Agglomeration Economies," ERSA conference papers ersa05p31, European Regional Science Association.
  11. Klinger, Sabine & Wolf, Katja, 2008. "What explains changes in full-time and part-time employment in Western Germany? : a new method on an old question," IAB Discussion Paper 200807, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
  12. Jens Suedekum & Uwe Blien & Johannes Ludsteck, 2006. "What has caused regional employment growth differences in Eastern Germany?," Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 51-73, March.
  13. Oliver Holtemöller & Maike Irrek & Birgit Schultz, 2012. "A Federal Long-run Projection Model for Germany," IWH Discussion Papers 11, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
  14. Kowalewski, Julia, 2010. "Specialisation and employment development in Germany: Analysis at regional level," HWWI Research Papers 1-28, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
  15. František Střeleček & Radek Zdeněk & Jana Lososová, 2010. "Development of Employment in Less Favoured Areas in 2002-2006," Politická ekonomie, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2010(6), pages 761-773.

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