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Skewness in Expected Macro Fundamentals and the Predictability of Equity Returns: Evidence and Theory

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Park, Sunjin, 2022. "Heterogeneous beliefs in macroeconomic growth prospects and the carry risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  2. Sebastian Stöckl & Lars Kaiser, 2021. "Higher moments matter! Cross‐sectional (higher) moments and the predictability of stock returns," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 455-481, October.
  3. Ethan Struby & Michael F. Connolly, 2022. "Shadow Rate Models and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2022-03, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
  4. Yuan Liao & Xinjie Ma & Andreas Neuhierl & Zhentao Shi, 2023. "Benign Overfitting in Economic Forecasting via Noise Regularization," Papers 2312.05593, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
  5. Haensly, Paul J., 2022. "Lessons from naïve diversification about the risk-reward trade-off," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  6. Segal, Gill, 2019. "A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 110-140.
  7. Zhen, Fang, 2020. "Asymmetric signals and skewness," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 32-42.
  8. Mete Kilic & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2019. "Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2522-2544, June.
  9. Martin Iseringhausen & Ivan Petrella & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2026. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 851-861, May.
  10. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2020. "Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered," Staff Reports 925, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  11. Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
  12. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
  13. Elyasiani, Elyas & Gambarelli, Luca & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2020. "Moment risk premia and the cross-section of stock returns in the European stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  14. Ethan Struby, 2018. "Macroeconomic Disagreement in Treasury Yields," Working Papers 2018-04, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
  15. Pan, Zhiyuan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Forecasting stock returns: A predictor-constrained approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 200-217.
  16. Ke-Li Xu, 2022. "On Local Projection Based Inference," CAEPR Working Papers 2022-002 Classification-, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
  17. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2024. "Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 116-151, March.
  18. Li, Yulin & Wald, John K. & Wang, Zijun, 2025. "Not just the news: Higher moments of macroeconomic variables and sovereign bond returns," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  19. Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  20. Félix, Luiz & Kräussl, Roman & Stork, Philip, 2018. "Predictable biases in macroeconomic forecasts and their impact across asset classes," CFS Working Paper Series 596, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  21. Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2022. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions with Options and CDS," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(9), pages 7018-7033, September.
  22. Zhen, Fang & Chen, Jingnan, 2022. "A closed-form mean–variance–skewness portfolio strategy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  23. Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Kagkadis, Anastasios & Philip, Dennis & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2019. "The information content of forward moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 527-541.
  24. Chen, Yan & Liu, Yakun & Bouri, Elie & Zhang, Lei, 2025. "Jump imbalance and Chinese stock market returns," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  25. Ke-Li Xu, 2023. "Local Projection Based Inference under General Conditions," CAEPR Working Papers 2023-001 Classification-C, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
  26. Li, Yulin & Wald, John K. & Wang, Zijun, 2020. "Sovereign bonds, coskewness, and monetary policy regimes," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  27. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhou, Huiting & Kang, Jie & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "The skewness of oil price returns and equity premium predictability," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  28. Tang, Wenjin & Ding, Saijie & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  29. Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2017. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions : The Role of CDS Spreads," International Finance Discussion Papers 1212, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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