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Updating Beliefs when Evidence is Open to Interpretation: Implications for Bias and Polarization

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Cheng, Ing-Haw & Hsiaw, Alice, 2022. "Distrust in experts and the origins of disagreement," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  2. Guglielmo Zappalà, 2022. "Drought exposure and accuracy: Motivated reasoning in climate change beliefs," Working Papers 2022.02, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
  3. Chiara Aina & Florian H. Schneider, 2025. "Weighting Competing Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 11757, CESifo.
  4. Jehiel, Philippe & Singh, Juni, 2021. "Multi-state choices with aggregate feedback on unfamiliar alternatives," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-24.
  5. Jean-Michel Benkert, Ludmila Matyskova, Egor Starkov, 2024. "Strategic Attribute Learning," Diskussionsschriften dp2411, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  6. Le Yaouanq, Yves, 2023. "A model of voting with motivated beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 394-408.
  7. Alda Botelho Azevedo & Inês Gonçalves & João Pereira dos Santos, 2025. "Can’t Buy Me Home – Beliefs, Facts, and Policy in the Housing Affordability Crisis," GEE Papers 191, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jun 2025.
  8. Pedro Hemsley & Lynda Pavão, 2025. "Moderating political polarization through affect labeling: An experiment," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 321-331.
  9. Allcott, Hunt & Boxell, Levi & Conway, Jacob & Gentzkow, Matthew & Thaler, Michael & Yang, David, 2020. "Polarization and public health: Partisan differences in social distancing during the coronavirus pandemic," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  10. Kathleen Ngangoué, M., 2021. "Learning under ambiguity: An experiment in gradual information processing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  11. Dmitri Vinogradov & Yousef Makhlouf, 2021. "Signaling probabilities in ambiguity: who reacts to vague news?," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 90(3), pages 371-404, May.
  12. Emiliano Catonini & Tatiana Mayskaya, 2024. "Talking with an extremist," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 77(3), pages 675-697, May.
  13. Yoon, Yeochang, 2023. "Improving social acceptance for carbon taxation in South Korea," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 45(2), pages 1-20.
  14. Axel Anderson & Nikoloz Pkhakadze, 2023. "Polarizing Persuasion," Working Papers gueconwpa~23-23-04, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
  15. Ryan Oprea & Sevgi Yuksel, 2022. "Social Exchange of Motivated Beliefs," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(2), pages 667-699.
  16. Preker, Jurek & Karos, Dominik, 2025. "Strategic Information Selection," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325446, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  17. Ing-Haw Cheng & Alice Hsiaw, 2023. "Bayesian Doublespeak," Working Papers 135, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
  18. Michael Kurschilgen, 2023. "Moral awareness polarizes people’s fairness judgments," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 61(2), pages 339-364, August.
  19. Ruzzier, Christian A. & Woo, Marcelo D., 2023. "Discrimination with inaccurate beliefs and confirmation bias," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 379-390.
  20. Anderson, Anders & Robinson, David, 2024. "Climate Polarization and Green Investment," Misum Working Paper Series 2024-15, Stockholm School of Economics, Mistra Center for Sustainable Markets (Misum), revised 05 Feb 2024.
  21. Christopher Biolsi & Alex Lebedinsky, 2021. "Can changes in sentiments influence consumer behavior? Evidence from the Trump‐Russia investigation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(4), pages 1569-1592, October.
  22. Botelho Azevedo, Alda & Gonçalves, Inês & Pereira dos Santos, João, 2025. "Can’t Buy Me Home: Beliefs, Facts, and Policy in the Housing Affordability Crisis," IZA Discussion Papers 18073, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  23. Anderson, Axel & Pkhakadze, Nikoloz, 2025. "Polarizing persuasion," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 181-198.
  24. Mechtenberg, Lydia & Perino, Grischa & Treich, Nicolas & Tyran, Jean-Robert & Wang, Stephanie W., 2024. "Self-signaling in voting," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
  25. Fernandes, Marcos R., 2023. "Confirmation bias in social networks," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 59-76.
  26. Giacomo De Luca & Thilo R. Huning & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Britain has had enough of experts? Social networks and the Brexit referendum," Discussion Papers 21/01, Department of Economics, University of York.
  27. Castagnetti, Alessandro & Schmacker, Renke, 2022. "Protecting the ego: Motivated information selection and updating," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  28. Hassan Afrouzi & Carolina Arteaga & Emily Weisburst, 2022. "Can Leaders Persuade? Examining Movement in Immigration Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9593, CESifo.
  29. Guglielmo Zappalà, 2023. "Drought Exposure and Accuracy: Motivated Reasoning in Climate Change Beliefs," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(3), pages 649-672, August.
  30. Christopher S. Armstrong & Mirko S. Heinle & Irina Luneva, 2024. "Financial information and diverging beliefs," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 2082-2124, September.
  31. Jean-Michel Benkert & Ludmila Matyskova & Egor Starkov, 2024. "Strategic Attribute Learning," Papers 2412.10024, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
  32. Vladimír Novák & Andrei Matveenko & Silvio Ravaioli, 2024. "The Status Quo and Belief Polarization of Inattentive Agents: Theory and Experiment," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(4), pages 1-39, November.
  33. Christopher P. Chambers & Nicolas S. Lambert, 2021. "Dynamic Belief Elicitation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(1), pages 375-414, January.
  34. Hongli Feng & Tong Wang & David A. Hennessy & Gaurav Arora, 2022. "Over-Perception about Land Use Changes: Assessing Empirical Evidence and Linkage with Decisions and Motivated Beliefs," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 98(2), pages 254-273.
  35. Björn TOELSTEDE, 2022. "Conformity, polarization, and democratic dialogue in times of pathogen threats. Germany and the United States during Covid-19," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 13, pages 263-291, December.
  36. Hajime Tomura, 2022. "What Will Be the Impact of Fintech on the Payment System? A Perspective from Money Creation," Working Papers 2204, Waseda University, Faculty of Political Science and Economics.
  37. Liu, Manwei, 2021. "Interdependent individuals : How aggregation, observation, and persuasion affect economic behavior and judgment," Other publications TiSEM ab3ef470-c4a4-4d6c-ba1a-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  38. Sonja Settele & Cortnie Shupe, 2020. "Lives or Livelihoods? Perceived Tradeoffs and Public Demand for Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions," CEBI working paper series 20-17, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
  39. Elchin Suleymanov, 2025. "Robust Maximum Likelihood Updating," Papers 2504.17151, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2025.
  40. Chen, Jaden Yang, 2022. "Biased learning under ambiguous information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  41. Flörchinger, Daniela & Perino, Grischa & Frondel, Manuel & Jarke, Johannes Stephan, 2025. "Let your choice be your voice: Eliciting popular climate policy preferences from decisions with real consequences," Ruhr Economic Papers 1174, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  42. Elisa Baldazzi & Pietro Biroli & Marina Della Giusta & Florent Dubois, 2025. "Seeing stereotypes," IFS Working Papers W25/46, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  43. Øivind Schøyen, 2024. "Suspicious minds and views of fairness," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 97(1), pages 67-88, August.
  44. Bosworth, Steven J. & Della Giusta, Marina, 2024. "When Matthew Met Larry: Explaining the Persistence of Gender Underrepresentation in High Status Organizations," IZA Discussion Papers 17460, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  45. Gagnon-Bartsch, Tristan & Bushong, Benjamin, 2022. "Learning with misattribution of reference dependence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  46. Mohsen Javdani & Ha-Joon Chang, 2023. "Who said or what said? Estimating ideological bias in views among economists," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 47(2), pages 309-339.
  47. Bertoli, Paola & Grembi, Veronica & Morelli, Massimo & Rosso, Anna Cecilia, 2023. "In medio stat virtus? Effective communication and preferences for redistribution in hard times," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 105-147.
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